nate silver and jim cramer should start a consulting firm where their specialty is being wrong about everything all of the time
@samhenrigold Nate Silver's Monte Carlo simulations for presidential election results were reasonable, as is the way he weights polls. But keep in mind that an 85% chance of winning is not a reason to feel complacent: the chance of surviving a round of Russian roulette is 83.3%.
BTW, Nate Silver is no longer associated with the FiveThirtyEight & he now seems to have a paywall.
ooo it can be like Siskel and Ebert. Two Thumbs down indicates a decent choice!