A lot of people still think about Covid as a wash your hands and socially distance kind of thing.

Chances of getting Covid from touching something is near zero and we're far more likely to catch it from someone we can't see because it can stay in the air for a long time, drift long distances, and remain potent long after a contagious person is gone (as much as 2 hours).

This is why improving ventilation is one of the most important things you can do to reduce risks of infection for yourself and people around you. With good air flow, an infectious person is less dangerous. Infected air is diluted and can't linger to keep infecting.

I took a variety of CO2 readings to estimate indoor air quality. Based on these readings, places I wouldn't want to be unmasked would be: house gatherings, offices, meeting rooms, conventions, public transit, a plane, funerals.

Places that may not be as risky as originally believed are: supermarkets, pharmacies, and restaurants.

#Covid #CO2 #Aranet4

One surprising finding I'm having from taking CO2 readings in various places is that I'm consistently getting readings between 700 and 800 ppm at supermarkets.

I mostly took readings at peak hours. I'll need to go back at off peak times to see how much the readings change. I was really amazed at how "not terrible" the reading at Trader Joe's was.

Picture 1: Trader Joes at noon on a Saturday. It is packed. It was a total surprise to see CO2 readings between 700 and 800ppm! (Fair)

Picture 2: Smart and Final, a mostly California-bases grocery outlet selling a mix of regular groceries and bulk package items with a reading of 714ppm. (Good)

Picture 3: Walgreens Pharmacy, at off peak hours. 529ppm. This is very good, but hard to believe. I'll have to go take this again.

Picture 4: Nob Hill Foods, a small grocery chain in Northern California. 726ppm. Good-Fair.

#aranet4 #co2 #covid #traderjoe

I'm making some blunt assumptions about what these readings mean. From what I've been gathering from scientists posting about air quality readings, 400ppm is a baseline and every +200ppm gets you from excellent to good to fair to unhealthy.

Most people seem to be suggesting 800 and below as the line to really start exercising more strict caution if you're trying to avoid infection.

But keep in mind that's based on 400ppm as the baseline. My baseline for some of these readings is shown in the attached photo. It's 470ppm outdoors on that day.

My baseline is likely higher because I'm in an urban area at a mall near very busy roads. There's a lot of extra ambient CO2 so my cutoff lines would be 670 and below (excellent), 870 and below (good), 1070 and below (fair).

Every 400ppm above baseline roughly equates to 1% of the air you breathe being exhaled by someone else. That's like getting mouth to mouth once every 6-8 mins.

#aranet4 #co2 #covid

@sysop408 Obviously CO2 is a reasonable proxy for ventilation in public spaces, but I wonder how precisely that correlates with risk of infection when said space is a crowded supermarket and you're waiting in a checkout line with lots of unmasked people on every side of you. It seems quite possible that CO2 levels could be quite reasonable and there still be some #COVID or other nasties floating in the air. For now I'm going to err on the side of caution while grocery shopping.

@BruceMirken you're right. All things are relative here. What we have here are degrees of risk, not degrees of safety.

The reason why I'm asking people who got stuck on conceptualizing risk in social distancing terms to drop it is not because all risks are equal.

The person right in your face is definitely a more potent risk, but if we're playing just the numbers game, only a handful of people can be in your face, but hundreds of people can be close enough to infect you if the air quality is poor. Yet people mostly look at what's in front of them.

Even during heavy spikes in 2020, in most places, at any given time there were fewer than 1 out of every 100 people who were likely to be highly contagious. Chances of being face to face with that 1 in 100? Small, especially if the symptomatic ones self quarantine or try not to get too close to anyone. Chance of ending up in the same room? Quite high.

That's the point here and some people who are trying to balance risk with reward need to understand that.

@sysop408 @BruceMirken the good thing with ventilation and the CO2 proxy is that it's one of those things we would benefit from even if COVID wasn't an issue (a similar thing hold for washing hands, BTW, good hygiene practices transcend the specific ailment). So it's good to learn more about the specifics of COVID transmission, but it's also good that good practices are kept in mind and good habits reach as far and wide as possible.