I don't want to talk about Aldean's "Small town" lyrics or video.

I do want to point out (again) that the homicide rate in GOP "small town" counties, is higher than that in Dem "big town" counties. 🤔

https://www.cjcj.org/reports-publications/publications/crime-trends-and-violence-worse-in-californias-republican-voting-counties-than-democratic-voting-counties

A white person in a red county has about as much chance of being shot as a Black person in a blue county.🤔

(I don't know how much you know about crime in the USA, but if you have as much risk of being a victim of anything as Black people? That's not good).

The secret to not being shot in the United States is:
* Be white
* Be in a big blue city

I think it's hilarious how white folk from small towns think of New York as a dangerous place.

If you visit NYC from rural America, your chances of being shot just went *down* significantly.

If you look at victim stats, in general you see that:

* Black people shoot Black people.

* White people shoot white people.

* White people in blue counties don't point guns at each other very often.

* White people in red counties point guns at each other way too often.

That vigilante justice in red counties is often expressed by someone pulling a gun on you after a perceived traffic slight.

You can flee SF for TX because seeing homeless people scares you, but you ain't ready to see guns pulled at a fender bender, or because someone merged.šŸ¤·šŸæā€ā™‚ļø

Fox News tells you that blue counties and states are more dangerous. But Fox News isn't real. You know this. Stop pretending that you don't know this.

Ignore the racist framing, and look at who gets shot, where, and why.

https://www.kens5.com/article/news/crime/road-rage-shootings-rise-with-texas-among-worst-states-country/273-913c0665-7fda-4da7-8cde-cc7f36d3d85d

Please enjoy this Pulitzer prize winning documentary about how that small town vigilante justice works out for folks in reality.

https://youtu.be/4T41M7cCqsU

Guntown

YouTube
@mekkaokereke Only racism can account for the difference in framing between ā€œsmall town vigilante justiceā€ and ā€œgang violenceā€. See also: ā€œcrime familiesā€, including but not limited to Irish and Italian groups. White folks straight up memorizing The Godfather and the Tarantino films and out of the other side of their mouths saying rap and Black culture glorify violence. Racism all the way down.
@mekkaokereke Satire or real... you decide šŸ¤”
@mekkaokereke relevant https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-06-07/is-new-york-city-more-dangerous-than-rural-america lots of data. Good link for all NYers w/family elsewhere that have FEELINGS about sAfeTY
Is New York City More Dangerous Than Rural America?

Rising homicide rates don’t tell the whole story. When you dig deeper into data on deaths, you'll find the more urban your surroundings, the less danger you face.

Bloomberg
@mekkaokereke I see your YouTube video and raise you this YouTube video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZEsE6BNbTgk
Remy: How to React to Tragedy

YouTube

@mekkaokereke

I thought it was a little goofy and over the top until the arrest at the end, and then I thought… yup, that tracks.

@mekkaokereke

Not enough people got shot in the end.

@mekkaokereke

my friend splits her time between an urban hospital and a rural one, and yesterday we were all talking about a homicide that happened last week at the urban hospital

Another friend asked if she'd feel safer working full time at the rural hospital

She said, are you kidding me? At the rural hospital they had daily armed anti-mask protests, people trying to break into the icu with ivermectin smoothies. It's way safer in the city

@mekkaokereke @drwho Okay, so I just happened to be looking US News Best States Ranking so I looked this up, and... guess what? [edit - apologies, I missed Idaho] Only ONE red state in the top 10 for lowest crime rates.[/edit]

New Hampshire is Purple - probably Maine too, so those 2 are splits. But the rest of those 10 lowest crime states are blue.

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/rankings/crime-and-corrections

@deco @mekkaokereke @drwho Yeah, I was looking that up because I was curious about the death penalty as a deterrent.

It was pretty clear the death penalty is not a deterrent.
@ragnell @mekkaokereke @deco If you look at it as human sacrifice to ensure the sun will come up tomorrow, the death penalty in this country makes a lot more sense.
@drwho @mekkaokereke @deco I always saw it as human sacrifice to make the privileged feel better.
@drwho @mekkaokereke @deco But that is key to my objection to it. We're supposed to be past human sacrifice.
@ragnell @mekkaokereke @deco Humans are not past it. Though they like to think they are.

@mekkaokereke I recently almost got in a screaming match with my dad about this.

I gave up because he rarely leaves South Phoenix and I know talk radio (same code as Fox and he doesn’t have cable) will repeat the meme to him tomorrow.

Definitely good to have stats handy for next time I talk to him or anyone else though.

@triplee @mekkaokereke does your dad accept facts? Mostly I get a ā€œmy facts are louder than your factsā€ response.

@eyebrowsgerri @mekkaokereke To his credit he listens and accepts reason but when I go home (we’re 2000 miles apart) he usually goes back to his routine and gets brainwashed again.

Other relatives… less so on the listening part.

I do think my lecture about Jan 6 stuck at least (I live just outside DC so it was extra real).

Sometimes ā€œthe news isn’t reporting this because of a vested interest by their ownersā€ does get through if that helps because it plays the game.

@mekkaokereke yep. Anecdotally, I've in a predominately Black neighborhood in Brooklyn for ~15 years. There is gun violence here, but I can't think of a single instance where a White person was shot.

@mekkaokereke a couple things

1. Fox didn’t create it. It’s been a general sentiment in rural America as long as I’ve been alive

2. There’s some law of large numbers effects here too. Tens of thousands of small towns means that if 1% are dangerous that’s going to fill up the ā€œmost dangerous placesā€ list real fast. That doesn’t necessarily mean it’s dangerous to live in a small town though, or that it isn’t…

Still, most people don’t seem to be aware that the most dangerous places are rural

@mekkaokereke

I remember looking at the murder rate last year and being shocked how it shook down, big cities are nowhere near the top. Like this top of the google search for State by State 2023 Murder rate https://besttoppers.com/murder-rate-by-state/

Murder Rate By State in 2023

In a decade back in 2010, the USA suffered one of the lowest killing rates per state. The U.S. homicide rate ranges from less than one killing per 100,000 people to 14.4 killings per 100,000 people…

Best Toppers
@mekkaokereke it's the hallmark of "honor culture", discussed well in this episode of Hidden Brain: https://hiddenbrain.org/podcast/made-of-honor/
Made of Honor | Hidden Brain Media

Stories help us make sense of the world, and can even help us heal from trauma. They also shape our cultural narratives, for better and for worse. This week,

Hidden Brain Media
@matunos
And like in other cultures that have "honor killings," it's all about the killer's ego.
@mekkaokereke
@mekkaokereke I’m pretty sure guns are often pulled over car conflicts here in Oakland.

@wooliex

You're pretty wrong.

There have been some highway shootings in the bay area over the past few years, and that is so abnormal that it's making national news and is shocking. In Houston that type of shooting doesn't even always make the local news, let alone national news.

Road rage shootings are rare in Oakland. People in Oakland typically shoot each other for a reason.

It's very hard for people to accept that there are more random road rage shootings in Texas than Oakland.

@mekkaokereke I lived in Houston for 30 years and I’ve lived in Oakland for 10 years.

@wooliex

I'm very proud of you! šŸ‘šŸæ

I've lived in Houston too. And I know that the city of Houston alone, has about the same amount of road rage shootings as LA, SF, San Diego, Oakland, Sacramento, San Jose, Temecula, Riverside, *combined*. In fact, Houston has as many road rage shooting deaths as the *entire state* of California, including our small towns.🤔

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/5/6/2096339/-Houston-The-Road-Rage-Shooting-Capital-of-the-USA-and-therefore-the-world

But sure, Oakland scary!

Yes, there are knuckleheads everywhere, including Oakland. But be realistic.

Houston: The Road Rage Shooting Capital of the USA (and therefore, the world)

It has been said that every 17 hours, a person is shot during a road rage incident in the United States. Few are surprised by the surge in road rage violence given the ongoing pandemic and the stern gun culture; road rage shootings are already an...

Daily Kos
@mekkaokereke the level of gun violence in both places is overwhelming and depressing. Having it happen, continously, in such close proximity to where I live - well, it’s a big stress. One specific example of traffic violence is the endemic street racing in my neighborhood, or people speeding into oncoming traffic to save a few moments at a red light. No one confronts it because it would immediately escalate to violence.

@wooliex

OK that I agree with 100%.

People in normal countries look at us US folk saying things like, "Sure Oakland is shooty, but Texas is much more shootier! Houston is the shootiest!"

Normal people are wondering why any of us shoot each other in traffic. Like, why is this even a thing?

There are whole nations that go an entire year with zero road rage shootings.

@mekkaokereke I’m a little touchy on this subject because yesterday Instagram promoted a video into my feed of a car with bullet holes all through the glass. After a few moments I realized it’s *on the block I live on.* Stuff like this is not an isolated incident. And I’m not saying Houston is better - it was my home, but I left for a lot of reasons. I’m not trying to be contrarian in your replies, I’m just sick of the entire situation in both places right now.

@wooliex

ā™„ļø That sucks. I want us to be better, and I want everyone to feel safe.

That's why I push so hard for us to focus on what really works to decrease violence, and to move away from the things that make it worse. Systemic racism makes us all less safe, and increases violence and shootings.

We've been able to reduce the number of shootings in the supposedly worst, most hopeless areas, several times in recent history. We know what works.

@mekkaokereke Person from Chicago: Hi, I’m from Chicago.
Person from Texas: Wow how do you not get shot?
Person from Chicago: by staying out of Texas.

@mekkaokereke A few years back a white guy from a nearby small town was talking about how they wouldn't come to my (mid-sized, diverse) city because "white people get shot just walking around there".

I looked at 5 years of data...not only could I not find a single incidence of that happening in a couple hundred homicides here, I only found a tiny handful of any white guys getting shot for any reason at all, by anyone.

@bullcitybrian @mekkaokereke

And most white guys are shot by white guys. The whole criminalization of non-whites depends on that kind of preposterous fear however....

@DeborahForPlus @bullcitybrian

It even extends to the police. By far the most dangerous person for a police officer, is:
* White male
* With a long rifle (AR-15 or equivalent)
* During a traffic stop

As much as cops are overly cautious and jumpy around unarmed, innocent, Black drivers, they are under cautious of heavily armed, right wing, violent drivers with strong anti-government views.

And white men are most likely to be armed.😢

https://www.newsweek.com/violence-toward-cops-skyrocketed-2016-60-percent-more-officers-killed-686102

Violence Toward Cops Skyrocketed in 2016 And Whites Are Mostly Responsible

Violence toward officers catapulted in 2016, leading to the highest number of cop killings in years.

Newsweek

@mekkaokereke @bullcitybrian

And now we're back to implicit bias ... Which we cannot help in ourselves, except that we can be aware of it and as a result move our thinking into the rational part of our brains ... Explicit bias that's denied is what continues on ....

@bullcitybrian @mekkaokereke then compare to that guy's small town

@bullcitybrian @mekkaokereke I had to tell a person that the "totally common scenario" that he wanted just *two* examples of was so rare, so uncommon, that to even find them couldn't prove anything due to experimental data issues.

Still about shootings, just had to do with what cause. There just isn't the data.

@bullcitybrian @mekkaokereke
The way you keep them down on the farm is to make sure they never actually see Paris.
@bullcitybrian @mekkaokereke fascinating that it was specifically "white people" getting allegedly shot, must be some severe fox news brain poisoning

@mekkaokereke

I had the impression that

* White people shoot themselves (generally)

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9709653/

(Includes some fun maps supporting your point about NYC.)

Trends and Disparities in Firearm Fatalities in the United States, 1990-2021

How have firearm fatality rates varied over a 32-year period in the United States?In this cross-sectional study of 1 110 421 firearm fatalities, all-intent firearm fatality rates declined to a low in 2004, then increased 45.5% by 2021. ...

PubMed Central (PMC)

@mekkaokereke

btw, another article, which feels sort of compassionate to me, and illustrates the point that racism is hurting more than its target:

https://wapo.st/3Y7VB0s

Final paragraph is good, quoted next if I can squeeze it into 500 chars.

What the ā€˜black-on-black crime’ fallacy misses about race and gun deaths

The majority of the gun deaths in the United States are not homicides but suicides, and white men account for 74 percent of them.

The Washington Post
@mekkaokereke Ā«When white men respond to their life circumstances with gun violence, it’s treated as a public health problem, brought on by mental illness and stress. When black men do, it’s portrayed almost solely as a criminal issue, caused by lawlessness and moral failing. The multiplier in both epidemics is lawmakers’ blind devotion to the NRA. Zealously protecting their right to bear arms has come at a huge cost, and as quiet as it is kept, it’s not just the black community that is paying.Ā»
@tarheel I am not a native speaker, so please help me understand: Is it still called or considered a suicide in your language when somebody kills themselves with a gun accidentally or is just intentional self-killing called a suicide? @mekkaokereke

@levampyre @mekkaokereke

Pretty sure the definition includes intent.

Unintentional is tracked in its own category (and it is very small, comparatively).

@mekkaokereke There's the same inversion of Republican talk in crime stats about immigration. The violent crime rate in the U.S. is _higher_:

- among documented immigrants than undocumented
- among citizens than non-citizens
- among people born in the U.S. than people not.

@mekkaokereke I was told that white people should just stay home and play with their guns if they want to be safe https://time.com/6183881/gun-ownership-risks-at-home/
Owning Guns Puts People in Your Home at Greater Risk of Being Killed, New Study Shows

A new study shows that people living in homes with guns face substantially higher risks of being fatally assaulted.

TIME