#Ukraine June 11, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, All non-offensive fronts & Backstage

Here is the PdS1 for today ๐Ÿ‘‡

1/n
#WarInUkraine D+473 (11/06) PdS1 - Dniepr-Donetsk offensive

To spin the marine metaphor, in the Dniepr-Donetsk offensive, #AFU are not in "full advance" but in "slow advance".

Russian base attacked (towards Tavria)๐Ÿ‘‡

2/n
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to chronicle NยฐCDLXXII of #WarInUkraine ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110520678957655122
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1667559747870916608

applepie110101 (@[email protected])

#Ukraine June 10, after the update of Cedric Mas here https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110520494379229720 Here it is the update from @escortert, part 1. With a slightly different point of view. -> PdS1, #Donbass Theater ๐Ÿ‘‡

Mastodon

3/n

I've changed the breakdown of my PoS (Points de Situation)
- PdS1 is dedicated to the Dniepr-Donetsk offensive, with TDB, dynamic and static maps and supporting images
- PdS2 is devoted to the background and non-offensive fronts:
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ front

4/n

- Luhansk Front (#Kupyansk-#Svatove-#Kreminna)
- Avdiivka - Mariinka - Vuhledar
- Kherson & Crimea

5/n

The first few kilometers to the Sea of Azov have been covered (Slava Ukraini!)
But the cost was high (TDB will integrate this data soon)

6/n

sector 1/ in #Bakhmut direction, no progress towards encirclement goal๐Ÿ‘‡

(i) northern salient of #Bakhmut, no ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tactical gains despite continuous assaults in axis #Yahidne, #Berkhivka

In #Bohdanivka axis, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ assault halted

7/n

(ii) #Bakhmut city, no ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tactical gains

(iii) #Bakhmut southern salient, no ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tactical gains

In the axis of #BilaHora, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ assult halted

The advance of the glorious ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 3rd brigade on the flanks of #bakhmut is slowed by trench cleaning๐Ÿ‘‡

8/n

sector 2/in the #VelykaNovosilka direction, the first 4 km have been covered (slava Ukraini!)๐Ÿ‘‡

Assault groups from the 23rd and 31st brigades, along with Marines from the 37th, have made tactical gains on the right flank towards #Storozheve, south of #Neskuchne

9/n

#Neskuchne has been liberated as #Blahodatne๐Ÿ‘‡

first video of a liberated settlement since the start of the offensive (it feels good); ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Chief of Staff understands the need to lift a corner of SECOP

10/n

In the #Storozheve sector, the Russian army preferred to withdraw to better positions to the west๐Ÿ‘‡

the retreat has begun...

11/n

sector 3/ in the #Orikhiv direction, the first 3 km have been covered (slava Ukraini!)๐Ÿ‘‡

12/n

(i) on the left flank, in line with #Lobkove, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tactical gains

#Lobkove has probably been released๐Ÿ‘‡

13/n

All the details of the attack on #Lobkove were filmed by a ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ drone (4 footages in a row)

footage 1/4

13/n
footage 2/4
13/n
footage 3/4
13/n
footage 4/4

14/n

(ii) on the right flank, in line with #Verbove, west of #Novopokrovka,๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tactical gains more difficult

the topography of the advance towards #Melitopol (or #Berdyansk?) is not easy with numerous fortifications

15/n

Why can't ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ break through?

Their actions are too much in line with what has been anticipated by ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ, who offer an appropriate three-stage defensive response:

1/ early drone detection of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ assaults (4 footages in a row)

footage 1/4

15/n
footage 2/4
15/n
footage 3/4
15/n
footage 4/4

16/n

2/ implementation of 1st line defense with minefields, abundant ATGM/anti-tank weapons, effective fire support (TOS-1 artillery, air support with Kh-52 and Vikhr missiles)

3/ raising the 2nd line of defence to retake abandoned positions

17/n

More generally, the balance of forces is insufficient, as ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ is keeping the bulk of its troops in the rear.
Finally, electronic warfare, jamming of coms and drones is a great ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ success who has managed to improve in 15 months

18/n

What are ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ' responses to the problems posed by ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ?

1/ I'm astonished by the lack of mobility corridors through minefields, even though training has focused on this point.

19/n

2/ electronic warfare: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ electronic warfare countermeasures have failed, which seems surprising given Western theoretical superiority in this field, and should therefore be questioned.

3/ the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ AA defense is notoriously inadequate.

20/n

4/ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ succeeded in destroying TOS-1 thermobaric fire supports with their precision artillery ๐Ÿ‘‡

20/n
and the footage

21/n

5/ the daytime assaults were surprisingly successful, whereas the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ night optics of Western origin give excellent results, but assaults are now carried out at night.

6/ errors in command and control of operations and tasks (cf. the destroyed column)

22/n
Thanks @escortert for this update
Source PdS1 June 11
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1667878212695736321
Macette Escortert on Twitter

โ€œ1/n #GuerreEnUkraine D+473 (11/06) PdS1 - Offensive Dniepr-Donetsk Pour filer la mรฉtaphore marine, dans lโ€™offensive Dniepr-Donetsk, #AFU ne sont pas en "avance toute" mais en "avance lente" base russe attaquรฉe (direction Tavria)๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/bEb4rJAmXjโ€

Twitter
23/n
June 11 part 2 (PdS2) is available here
https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110526713537783386
applepie110101 (@[email protected])

#Ukraine June 11, update from @escortert. -> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive -> PdS2, All non-offensive fronts & Backstage Here is the PdS2 for today ๐Ÿ‘‡

Mastodon