applepie110101#Ukraine June 11, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, All non-offensive fronts & Backstage
Here is the PdS1 for today 👇
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+473 (11/06) PdS1 - Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
To spin the marine metaphor, in the Dniepr-Donetsk offensive, #AFU are not in "full advance" but in "slow advance".
Russian base attacked (towards Tavria)👇
2/n
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to chronicle N°CDLXXII of #WarInUkraine 👇
https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110520678957655122
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1667559747870916608
applepie110101 (@[email protected])
#Ukraine June 10, after the update of Cedric Mas here https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110520494379229720 Here it is the update from @escortert, part 1. With a slightly different point of view. -> PdS1, #Donbass Theater 👇
3/n
I've changed the breakdown of my PoS (Points de Situation)
- PdS1 is dedicated to the Dniepr-Donetsk offensive, with TDB, dynamic and static maps and supporting images
- PdS2 is devoted to the background and non-offensive fronts:
- 🇷🇺 front
5/n
The first few kilometers to the Sea of Azov have been covered (Slava Ukraini!)
But the cost was high (TDB will integrate this data soon)
6/n
sector 1/ in #Bakhmut direction, no progress towards encirclement goal👇
(i) northern salient of #Bakhmut, no 🇺🇦 tactical gains despite continuous assaults in axis #Yahidne, #Berkhivka
In #Bohdanivka axis, 🇷🇺 assault halted
8/n
sector 2/in the #VelykaNovosilka direction, the first 4 km have been covered (slava Ukraini!)👇
Assault groups from the 23rd and 31st brigades, along with Marines from the 37th, have made tactical gains on the right flank towards #Storozheve, south of #Neskuchne
9/n
#Neskuchne has been liberated as #Blahodatne👇
first video of a liberated settlement since the start of the offensive (it feels good); 🇺🇦 Chief of Staff understands the need to lift a corner of SECOP
10/n
In the #Storozheve sector, the Russian army preferred to withdraw to better positions to the west👇
the retreat has begun...
11/n
sector 3/ in the #Orikhiv direction, the first 3 km have been covered (slava Ukraini!)👇
13/n
All the details of the attack on #Lobkove were filmed by a 🇷🇺 drone (4 footages in a row)
footage 1/4
13/n
footage 2/4
footage 2/4
13/n
footage 3/4
footage 3/4
13/n
footage 4/4
footage 4/4
14/n
(ii) on the right flank, in line with #Verbove, west of #Novopokrovka,🇺🇦 tactical gains more difficult
the topography of the advance towards #Melitopol (or #Berdyansk?) is not easy with numerous fortifications
15/n
Why can't 🇺🇦 break through?
Their actions are too much in line with what has been anticipated by 🇷🇺, who offer an appropriate three-stage defensive response:
1/ early drone detection of 🇺🇦 assaults (4 footages in a row)
footage 1/4
15/n
footage 2/4
footage 2/4
15/n
footage 3/4
footage 3/4
15/n
footage 4/4
footage 4/4
16/n
2/ implementation of 1st line defense with minefields, abundant ATGM/anti-tank weapons, effective fire support (TOS-1 artillery, air support with Kh-52 and Vikhr missiles)
3/ raising the 2nd line of defence to retake abandoned positions
17/n
More generally, the balance of forces is insufficient, as 🇺🇦 is keeping the bulk of its troops in the rear.
Finally, electronic warfare, jamming of coms and drones is a great 🇷🇺 success who has managed to improve in 15 months
18/n
What are 🇺🇦' responses to the problems posed by 🇷🇺 ?
1/ I'm astonished by the lack of mobility corridors through minefields, even though training has focused on this point.