applepie1101011/n
#WarInUkraine D+464 (02/06) PdS1 - #Donbass theater
To see if there are any signs of an offensive on the #Donbass front, look at what's happening towards #Volnovakha on the 🇺🇦 side or #Kreminna on the 🇷🇺 side.
shaping figuration
2/n
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to chronicle N°CDLXIII of #GuerreEnUkraine👇
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1664678034010406932
https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110475687690155228
3/n
1/northern segment, #Kupyansk-#Svatove-#Kreminna
In the #Kupyansk direction,
We have geotagged👇 images proving the 🇷🇺 advances towards #Masyutivka
4/n
The 🇺🇦 Chief of Staff specifies that a 🇷🇺 attack to the west of the settlement has been repulsed, acknowledging in hollow that it is taken
From a tactical point of view, this doesn't change much in retaken lands👇 except that 🇷🇺 manage to make a few km in the open on the way down
5/n
between the Oskil and the railroad line towards #Kupyansk
An important move (hint 3) would be for them to cross the Oskil.
But the terrain is very unfavorable👇 with a wet cut (Oskil) and then heights to the west to storm before being able to descend towards #Kupyansk
6/n
In the direction of #Svatove, N.T.R. (failed 🇷🇺 assault towards #Syelmakhivka & #novoselivske)
In direction #Kreminna, N.T.R. (failed 🇷🇺 assault towards #Bilohorivka)
The 🇺🇦 loss of area in May (-11 km2) reflects the 🇷🇺 advance towards the Donets to the south 👇
7/n
2/central segment, #Kramatorsk-#Sloviansk-#Siversk
Relief operations are still going on in #Bakhmut and on its flanks, and should last until June 5 according to #Prigozhin, who would have only 90 men left in the city
🇺🇦 reco👇
8/n
(i) In the northern salient of #Bakhmut,
In the #OrikhovoVasylivka axis, failed 🇷🇺 assault
In #Yahidne axis, failed 🇺🇦 assault towards #Berkhivka pond
(ii) In the southern salient of #Bakhmut,
In the #Klischiivka & #Andriivka axis,
trench taken by 🇺🇦👇
(NB, I just saw that this footage is old, ealry May, so not appropriate)
9/n
Offensive activity at #Bakhmut is very low (👇r.)
(iii) In the direction of #Siversk, N.T.R.
In May, area gains (+20 km2) in the segment are due to 🇺🇦 progress on the flanks and deflation of the salients (👇l.)
10/n
3/southern segment, #Avdiivka-#Vuhledar
In direction #Avdiivka, N.T.R.
In the direction of #Mariinka, repeated 🇷🇺 assaults cause nibbles
Maybe they'll take #Mariinka after 9 years!
Only a few blocks left to conquer NW and SW of the H20👇
11/n
#Putin 👇is reduced to begging his army to make the effort! The supreme commander begging his army to conquer a large village razed to the ground, now that's a task for a great commander!
12/n
In the direction of #Vuhledar,
WarGonzo, the most reputable 🇷🇺 milblogger, reports 🇺🇦 troop regroupings in the downhill corridor towards #Volnovakha with a first stop at #Volodymyrivka, which would be in sight of the #AFU👇 vanguard.
13/n
We need to link the progress 🇺🇦 on this segment👇 (over 100 km2 in a month) to the shaping strikes on the Russian rear between #Mariupol and #Berdyansk (see my PdS2)
14/n
Thx @escortert for this update
Source June 2 part 1
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1664607964601171971
Thx @escortert for this update
Source June 2 part 1
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1664607964601171971
15/n
#Ukraine June 2, part 2
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1664720078049361922
https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110476344294857023
#Ukraine June 2, part 2
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1664720078049361922
https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110476344294857023
@[email protected] ⚙️🔧🇺🇦 on Twitter
“#Ukraine June 2 updates form @escortert Part 2 - All Theaters except #Donbass & Backstage 👇”