1/ - Operational information as of 0600 18.05.2023 regarding the Russian invasion
Quite interesting news today as we speak.
quick note first : as i'm explaining here for couple weeks, i do believe UA army is doing a "number" on Ru arty systems and all datas and vids confirms it.
it is really important, to notice because i do believe that even if UKR is gonna start PART of it's offensive in really close future
2/ it gives them plenty of "room" to make it in good order.
what i mean, is that it is quite clear now that all the western SPH combines air strikes link to with special counter battery radar systems, tactical reco drones/ immediate sat intel/etc etc are now in full mode in Ukraine and they are using it like Stradivarius right now.
32! is a new record (appart from first month of war) & same goes for special equip..
so i know it sounds "obvious" for some, but we are witnessing a true changes
3/ right now.
because it was quite "easy' at one point for UKR to hit some arty systems as ru had plenty and not well protected, but since last winter, all the datas have changed and it was a big concern that they might keep their "sharp teeth" to go on grinding UKrainian land and defenses.
but right now, it is pretty much confirmed that this is GONE. they are losing one of their last "asset" in this game!
and of course Russia can bring in some mortar tubes from several countries but no SPH
4/ maybe a dozen here and there, but this ressources is gonna be dry before the lack of ammo.
(sure they still have quite a lot as we speak, but maybe the third of what they started +reserve)
so just saying it out loud, but UKR could play lots of "game" in coming months to make false attacks and destroying even more of these systems.
and then morale might really sink deep low for Ru.
6/ Of the ships in the Black Sea - six winged caliber rockets.
As well as two winged missiles "Iskander-K" from the ground-operative-tactical rocket complexes.
Forces and anti-air defense equipment of the Air Force, in cooperation with other components of the Defense Forces of Ukraine, destroyed 29 winged missiles."
So my concerns (i expressed in last gen thread) was saddly true, there is also a raise in missiles attacks
7/ and Kremlin is really pushing now to see the limits of UKR air defense and surely trying to deplete them faster that they are refill (but they won't succeed soon)
(Also it breaks the stupid narrative we heard for months about Ru not being to produce missiles no more)
some more info also here for this night attack
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-air-defense-shoots-down-29-out-of-30-rockets-in-overnight-attacks/
8/ 2 days ago i did not reported it, but for info it was :
six X-47M2 Aerobalistic Missiles "Dagger", 9 Winged Missiles " Caliber" - from ships in the Black Sea and three rockets (C-400, " Iskander-M").
All 18 rockets were destroyed allegedly by AD ZSU defense
In addition, on the night of May 16, the opponent attacked with Shahed-136/131 strike drones, and conducted air reconnaissance by three operational-tactical level drones - "Orlan-10"
all destroyed
9/ so you'll need to link this with this for future ref
https://elk.zone/mastodon.world/@HeliosRunner/110377120506293302
- Also NB. as stated 8 months ago, if they are sending this it means (like for aviation) that they do have plenty in reserve - like surely around 70/80 kaliber or 2k C-300 missiles- to protect their own territory.
what we are watching now is "only" ongoing production.
10/ now next part is going be dedicated to op situation :
(i'll come back on that this afternoon - with maps)
just one word though, Ru are progressing to seize last bit of Bakhmut and UA is closing in near #Klyshiivka
"B.D 👹, [18/05/2023 09:25] Finally, the correct figure is 1,700 meters per day, otherwise the officials consistently underestimated the performance of our boys near Bakhmut. The flank breakthrough continues, not everything is ok in the city, but ok on the flanks."
11/ And also (for the ones who are follwing me for a while knows) i have personally received (last time was in Feb for full reports then he gave me couple times partial one and then he went silent for last couple months) direct confirmation of good progress my friends!!
GOOD JOB is being accomplished right now on the FLANKS!
12/ quelques vidéos de @CedricMas pour ref complémentaires.
https://elk.zone/mastodon.world/@Cedri[email protected]/110389273472186086
Attaché : 1 vidéo #Ukraine #Ukraine 🔞 Attention vidéo violente Images des combats rapprochés sur les flancs de Bakhmut. Des fantassins UKR attaquent un retranchement RUS. Un est blessé (espérons légèrement), son camarade récupère son arme et attaque le trou d’où sont partis les tirs tandis qu’il évacue pour être soigné rapidement.
@CedricMas 15/ The T-72EA Avenger tank (Czech Republic), nicknamed "Tomas", which was assembled by Czech volunteers and handed over to Ukraine, is already performing combat missions in the #Bakhmut sector.
(not recent vid per say, but to tell you 2 diff things. First : the terrain is getting better and better, just saying...
second : the guys are there with more & more materials and are going forward... just saying, again (wink wink)
@CedricMas 16/ un petit lot de "baffes" pour la route...
dans sa dernière vid...
"Gerasimov and #Shoigu are moral freaks and cretins" - nous dit #Girkin-Strelkov.
do you think this one will die, before or just after #Prigozhin ?? 🤔
(merci à celui qui m'a fait passer le meme !-)
ref : https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1659174716454715392
@CedricMas 18/ petit aparté - je voulais pour une fois vous faire part du genre de "délire" permanent dans lequel baigne certains Mil-blog Russes et donc aussi bcp de leurs followers écervelés :
ils vivent littéralement leurs petits fantasmes, sur qq km2 (alors que sur l'echelle globale ils sont en échecs complets... mais "tt va bien..")
d'autre part on notera aussi le fantasme de tous les mercenaires étrangers et du fait qu'ils sont tous mort pour la nième fois,
@CedricMas 19/ mais vivant quand même.. 🤪 bien sur, car l'Ukrainien, lui ne sait rien faire bien sur... pas comme si nous n'avions pas 200k vidéos sur tous les axes, tous les jours de tous les combattants UA.
je note aussi que la petite musique est nécessaire à la dissonance cognitive, car sinon cela impliquerait implicitement qu'ils se font dérouiller par des "pompes" !
ns retournons donc à l'antiquité avec le narratif du combat contre la horde de l'étranger "animal" qu'il faut vaincre.
@CedricMas 20/ other subject : confirmed
""Railroad tracks in #Crimea will not work for some time," said Andriy Yusov, representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of #ukraine
just couple hours ago ru claims about "Railway Explosion in Occupied Crimea, Russians Say It Was Sabotage
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/17211
@CedricMas 21/ also this today ( i could not stop laughing about it while reading it)
"Russian #Hypersonic Missile Scientists Face Accusations of Treason
Senior Russian scientists have warned that the continued arrests of their colleagues is in danger of destroying their ability to conduct the research essential to protecting their nation."
which is of course, echoing the use & destruction of #kinzhal this past week.
really speaks volume about Ru internal problems now
@CedricMas 22/ Пока на расслабоне, на чилле. Окраины #Бахмута #Bakhmut
normally i don't post these kind of vids, but note the little holes on the upper side of the bodies (not so bad kit though) indicating some detonation above the ground (lots of holes in the helmets while standing and then they just collapsed.
they stand no chance right now of counterattacking if being "smoke" like that as soon as they go out in the open field.
well... too bad😏
@CedricMas 23/ Battles for Bakhmut continue. The enemy withdrew most of its reserves from Bakhmut and significantly strengthened the group. The enemy attacked Bakhmut all day today. All attacks were repelled by our defenders. We currently control the southwestern part of Bakhmut. The enemy also attacked the outskirts north of Bakhmut. Attacks repulsed. In some areas, there is an advance of our troops by 500 meters.
Hanna Malyar, spokesperson for the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine
Do you know a good video site to post osint related footage? My YT got deleted, before that twitter, seems like self hosted is the way to go forward.
Le monde Russe est vraiment en décrépitude. Il ne reste que la volonté du pouvoir qui tient le truc.
Merci Jérôme pour les infos.
Make me think about Strum in Grossman Жизнь и судьба . Maybe a phone call from Putin himself would save them.
Ca c’est de l’excellente news 👍🏻👏🏻 Merci pour le report top comme d’habitude ! Les bonnes nouvelles s’accumulent et le simple fait que l’🇺🇦 fixe un max de troupes RU dans et en dehors de Bakhmut est une superbe nouvelle en soit?
back up for J. like JJ
chrisschmitz_osint 
Flomiedzyrzecki
Kipik
Cardien
Nathalie Vander Eecken
sim dusho
Caro
Myosotisbasque
Cheyenne_2612