2/ it gives them plenty of "room" to make it in good order.
what i mean, is that it is quite clear now that all the western SPH combines air strikes link to with special counter battery radar systems, tactical reco drones/ immediate sat intel/etc etc are now in full mode in Ukraine and they are using it like Stradivarius right now.
32! is a new record (appart from first month of war) & same goes for special equip..

so i know it sounds "obvious" for some, but we are witnessing a true changes

3/ right now.
because it was quite "easy' at one point for UKR to hit some arty systems as ru had plenty and not well protected, but since last winter, all the datas have changed and it was a big concern that they might keep their "sharp teeth" to go on grinding UKrainian land and defenses.
but right now, it is pretty much confirmed that this is GONE. they are losing one of their last "asset" in this game!

and of course Russia can bring in some mortar tubes from several countries but no SPH

4/ maybe a dozen here and there, but this ressources is gonna be dry before the lack of ammo.
(sure they still have quite a lot as we speak, but maybe the third of what they started +reserve)
so just saying it out loud, but UKR could play lots of "game" in coming months to make false attacks and destroying even more of these systems.

and then morale might really sink deep low for Ru.

6/ Of the ships in the Black Sea - six winged caliber rockets.
As well as two winged missiles "Iskander-K" from the ground-operative-tactical rocket complexes.
Forces and anti-air defense equipment of the Air Force, in cooperation with other components of the Defense Forces of Ukraine, destroyed 29 winged missiles."

So my concerns (i expressed in last gen thread) was saddly true, there is also a raise in missiles attacks

7/ and Kremlin is really pushing now to see the limits of UKR air defense and surely trying to deplete them faster that they are refill (but they won't succeed soon)
(Also it breaks the stupid narrative we heard for months about Ru not being to produce missiles no more)

some more info also here for this night attack
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-air-defense-shoots-down-29-out-of-30-rockets-in-overnight-attacks/

8/ 2 days ago i did not reported it, but for info it was :
six X-47M2 Aerobalistic Missiles "Dagger", 9 Winged Missiles " Caliber" - from ships in the Black Sea and three rockets (C-400, " Iskander-M").
All 18 rockets were destroyed allegedly by AD ZSU defense

In addition, on the night of May 16, the opponent attacked with Shahed-136/131 strike drones, and conducted air reconnaissance by three operational-tactical level drones - "Orlan-10"
all destroyed

9/ so you'll need to link this with this for future ref
https://elk.zone/mastodon.world/@HeliosRunner/110377120506293302

- Also NB. as stated 8 months ago, if they are sending this it means (like for aviation) that they do have plenty in reserve - like surely around 70/80 kaliber or 2k C-300 missiles- to protect their own territory.
what we are watching now is "only" ongoing production.

10/ now next part is going be dedicated to op situation :
(i'll come back on that this afternoon - with maps)

just one word though, Ru are progressing to seize last bit of Bakhmut and UA is closing in near #Klyshiivka

"B.D 👹, [18/05/2023 09:25] Finally, the correct figure is 1,700 meters per day, otherwise the officials consistently underestimated the performance of our boys near Bakhmut. The flank breakthrough continues, not everything is ok in the city, but ok on the flanks."

11/ And also (for the ones who are follwing me for a while knows) i have personally received (last time was in Feb for full reports then he gave me couple times partial one and then he went silent for last couple months) direct confirmation of good progress my friends!!

GOOD JOB is being accomplished right now on the FLANKS!

12/ quelques vidéos de @CedricMas pour ref complémentaires.

https://elk.zone/mastodon.world/@Cedri[email protected]/110389273472186086

@CedricMas 15/ The T-72EA Avenger tank (Czech Republic), nicknamed "Tomas", which was assembled by Czech volunteers and handed over to Ukraine, is already performing combat missions in the #Bakhmut sector.

(not recent vid per say, but to tell you 2 diff things. First : the terrain is getting better and better, just saying...
second : the guys are there with more & more materials and are going forward... just saying, again (wink wink)

@CedricMas 16/ un petit lot de "baffes" pour la route...
dans sa dernière vid...
"Gerasimov and #Shoigu are moral freaks and cretins" - nous dit #Girkin-Strelkov.

do you think this one will die, before or just after #Prigozhin ?? 🤔

(merci à celui qui m'a fait passer le meme !-)

ref : https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1659174716454715392

@CedricMas 18/ petit aparté - je voulais pour une fois vous faire part du genre de "délire" permanent dans lequel baigne certains Mil-blog Russes et donc aussi bcp de leurs followers écervelés :

ils vivent littéralement leurs petits fantasmes, sur qq km2 (alors que sur l'echelle globale ils sont en échecs complets... mais "tt va bien..")
d'autre part on notera aussi le fantasme de tous les mercenaires étrangers et du fait qu'ils sont tous mort pour la nième fois,