L’Ukraine teste un lanceur spatial largué d’avion pour mettre des satellites en orbite : autonomie stratégique réelle ou réponse encore limitée face à Oreshnik ? www.geo.fr/geopolitique... #Space #Innovation #Aerospace #Launch #UkraineTech #SmallSats #Oreshnik #NewSpace

Guerre en Iran: faut-il craind...
La guerre en Iran va-t-elle mener à une prolifération des armes nucléaires au Moyen-Orient?

Alors que les discussions de paix sont au point mort entre l’Iran et les États-Unis, la question de la possession et de l’usage de l’arme nucléaire est centrale. Certains craignent la prolifération des ogives au Moyen-Orient.

Geo.fr
L’Ukraine teste un lanceur spatial largué d’avion pour mettre des satellites en orbite : autonomie stratégique réelle ou réponse encore limitée face à Oreshnik ?
https://www.geo.fr/geopolitique/la-guerre-en-iran-va-t-elle-mener-a-une-proliferation-des-armes-nucleaires-au-moyen-orient-231658 #Space #Innovation #Aerospace #Launch #UkraineTech #SmallSats #Oreshnik #NewSpace
La guerre en Iran va-t-elle mener à une prolifération des armes nucléaires au Moyen-Orient?

Alors que les discussions de paix sont au point mort entre l’Iran et les États-Unis, la question de la possession et de l’usage de l’arme nucléaire est centrale. Certains craignent la prolifération des ogives au Moyen-Orient.

Geo.fr
Putin’s Oreshniks SHOCK Trump as New War Front Erupts w- Brian Berletic.

YouTube

"Spoken like the cowardly thug that he is!"🤮🤮🤮

From https://t.me/pravdaGerashchenko_en

#Lukashenko: #Ukraine and #NATO should stay away from #Belarus so that the #Belarusian_Oreshnik doesn’t strike.

"I’m not saying that tomorrow we will strike #Vilnius, #Warsaw, or #Kyiv with this #Oreshnik. God forbid. That is not our task. Our task is to protect our country. But if you don’t want the #Oreshnik to strike, then don’t move against us - whether from #Ukraine, #Poland, #Lithuania, or #Latvia."

... #kinzhal #missiles and some #oreshnik components in #udmurtiya, more than 1500 km away from the Ukrainian border!

#Ukraine #russia #russoUkrainianWar

https://youtu.be/8C0dyfTISMo

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RUSSIA ON FIRE: CARPET PLAN SHUT DOWN MOSCOW AIRPORTS AGAIN Vlog 1328: War in Ukraine

YouTube
Zelensky: NATO Should Consider "Oreshnik" In Belarus As A Legitimate Target

There is a risk of Belarusians being dragged into the war.

Attacco preventivo nella dottrina militare USA

Caroline Test è il criterio legale classico (1837, lettera britannica a USA): autorizza forza preventiva solo se minaccia è "instant, overwhelming, leaving no choice of means, no moment for deliberation". Per missili, vale se fueling + targeting imminenti.

(Perplexity)

#USA #Oreshnik #Ucraina

FM 3-0 (#USA) e AJP-3 (#NATO) consentono pre-emptive strikes contro minacce imminenti (Caroline test), non preventive. Esempio: "launch under attack" o "pre-emptive degrade" se indicatori multipli (fuelling + RF).

È una "corsa contro il tempo" asimmetrica: #Russia ha vantaggio posizione, NATO ha superiorità intel/sensori. Un falso allarme = potenziale apocalisse. Per questo prevalgono diplomazia/blocco, non strikes casuali. La pace regge sul terrore condiviso.

(Perplexity)

#Oreshnik

Finestra di reazione

Segnali rilevati: satelliti/radar vedono fueling o erezione TEL in 30-60 secondi.

Conferma intel: analisti/IA validano in 30-90 secondi (2-3 indicatori).

Decisione e lancio strike: ordini catena comando + volo armi NATO (es. F-35 da base Polonia o ATACMS): 1-2 minuti max.

Totale: hai 1-3 minuti per distruggere il lanciatore prima che il missile decolli. Oltre, è intercettazione disperata (Patriot ha ~70% vs ipersonici).

Fonte: Perplexity

#Oreshnik #Nato #Russia

Un attacco NATO provocherebbe ritorsioni russe, potenzialmente escalando a scambio ipersonico su infrastrutture critiche europee. Zelensky mira a forzare deterrenza NATO, ma Bielorussia non è "stato aggressore" formale, complicando l'Articolo 5.

Fonte: Perplexity

#Nato #Zelensky #Oreshnik #Ucraina #Bielorussia