⬆️ @eliasulrich

High #hubris uses #AI to hit children's school — Far more catastrophic than the 2008 #financial meltdown caused by indiscriminate use of #mathematical modeling of #creditDefaultSwaps.

>> "As planning for a potential strike in #Iran was underway, #Maven, powered by #Claude, suggested hundreds of targets, issued precise location coordinates, and prioritized those targets according to importance…. The #AItools also evaluate a strike AFTER it is initiated…"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/03/04/anthropic-ai-iran-campaign/

Anthropic’s AI tool Claude central to U.S. campaign in Iran, amid a bitter feud

Anthropic’s AI tool Claude is playing a key role in the U.S. military’s campaign in Iran, amid a bitter fight with the Pentagon over the terms of its use in war.

The Washington Post
Bloomberg: #Creditmarkets, already vulnerable to risks from #AI and #private lending, are wobbling. #Bondspreads widened and #creditdefaultswaps blew out. Some issuers are delaying #bond sales.

"The secret is out about the potential artificial intelligence bubble — and Wall Street’s sharks smell blood in the water.

Wall Street traders have sharply increased how much they’re spending on “credit default swaps,” which, in case you weren’t paying attention during the movie The Big Short, are insurance derivatives that pay out when a company fails (a form of short).

Investors are shorting Big Tech companies, mainly Oracle and Meta, to “protect [themselves] and create a hedge,” one anonymous credit executive said. That means more and more investors are managing their risk by putting their money on the AI market’s eventual crash — just like in The Big Short.

In the lead-up to the 2008 financial crisis, firms like Goldman Sachs “made a fortune” playing both sides of the economic crash by selling mortgage-backed securities that its executives infamously identified as “shitty,” then also selling credit default swaps (shorts) against these investments as it became apparent they’d fail.

According to data reported by the Financial Times this week, the volume of credit default swaps tied to U.S. technology giants has risen 90 percent just since early September after being reportedly “thin to nonexistent” at the start of the year."

https://www.levernews.com/the-big-short-2-ai-boogaloo/

#AI #BigTech #AIBubble #WallStreet #CreditDefaultSwaps

The Big Short 2: AI Boogaloo

An increasing number of Wall Street investors are betting against artificial intelligence.

The Lever
“The price of #US #creditdefaultswaps — which are supposed to protect #investors if #America fails to honor its #debt, and are an indicator of market pros’ sentiment — has surged” paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-liz-trus...
Bluesky

Bluesky Social
US credit default swaps surge to two-year peak, surpassing levels seen during tariff announcements, signaling heightened market concerns
#YonhapInfomax #USCDS #CreditDefaultSwaps #MarketConcerns #TariffAnnouncement #FinancialRisk #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=59686
US CDS Soars Higher Than During Tariff Announcement, Reaching 2-Year High

US credit default swaps surge to two-year peak, surpassing levels seen during tariff announcements, signaling heightened market concerns

Yonhap Infomax
En el gráfico tienen udes. los famosos #CreditDefaultSwaps -CDS- q tanto dieron q hablar al final del segundo gobierno de RodríguezZapatero.
El gráfico es optimista,
en su día los vi peores
#Grecia estaba mal pero no era tanto dinero si es q alguien se lo quería prestar, el resto de #PIGS estaban mal pero lo malo es q se había puesto en marcha una caida de fichas de domino
El problema a finales de 2011 era la deuda de #Italia y q si caía, era el final de todo

from #TheBigShort (2015), regarding credit default swaps which were used to bet on the collapsing housing market / mortgage backed securities:

"let me put it this way: I'm standing in front of a burning house, and I'm offering you fire insurance on it."

#CreditDefaultSwap #CreditDefaultSwaps

https://youtu.be/3hG4X5iTK8M?t=200

The Big Short - "Jenga" Clip (2015) - Paramount Pictures

YouTube
It's not just #CreditSuisse stock is falling, but its bonds.
Primary market for bonds is its initial Public Offering and can be traded at par value or at discount or at premium
Bonds are speculated on secondary markets
Right now both #CreditSuisse bonds and its bond coupon are being traded at significant losses.
CDS -#CreditDefaultSwaps- are skyrocketing.
More on this topic soon
@laurend there is a reason why regulatory agencies try to protect customers from speculatory investment… unfortunately, every time a bubble pops (#SnakeOil, #CDO, #CreditDefaultSwaps, etc), conmen just invent another form of promising quick buck with “no risk”… and there is always people willing to give conmen their money… the big investors cut their losses, but the small investors suffer.
For #creditdefaultswaps, the 5-year contract sold at the most recent #IMM date is the on-the-run security; it thus has a remaining maturity of between 4 years, 9 months and 5 years.