RCP8.5 Is Officially Dead
기후 연구의 중요한 전환점으로, IPCC의 기후 시나리오를 제공하는 CMIP7 시나리오 프레임워크가 발표되면서 기존의 극단적 고배출 시나리오인 RCP8.5, SSP5-8.5, SSP3-7.0이 공식적으로 폐기되었다. 새로운 시나리오들은 이전보다 온실가스 배출량과 기후 변화 예측 범위를 축소하여 현실적이고 최신의 에너지 및 인구 동향을 반영한다. 이는 기후 정책과 연구에 큰 영향을 미칠 전망이며, 기존 연구와 정책 기반이 불확실한 시나리오에 의존해왔음을 시사한다. 다만, 새로운 고배출 시나리오인 HIGH는 여전히 현실성에 대한 논란이 있으며, 시나리오 개발 과정에서의 타당성 평가 부족이 지적된다.
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/rcp85-is-officially-dead
As part of an in-house research project, UBA is working on the use and further development of an integrated assessment model (IAM) developed by the independent research institute IIASA. IAMs combine economic, social and ecological aspects for the development of climate action scenarios and are central to the IPCC process. The cooperation between UBA and IIASA is now official.
Members of the House of Lords have raised issues with the UK government about climate scenarios used by the Bank of England and the country’s financial services firms and pension schemes. There has been growing concern that globally recognised scenarios do not adequately reflect climate science. In a debate on 25 January, Baroness Drake said […]
@twitterreject @DemocracyMattersALot
I am an optimist, so I think that things will work out eventually.
However, looking at the evidence, I think we are heading for a #MadMax scenario in some regions.
The #WashingtonPost looked at all existing #ClimateScenarios at the end of last year. I did a recap on that: https://mastodon.social/@HistoPol/109461897088125927
Since then, I have read about even worse news from many regions in the world. For instance, last week I learned that for a region in central #Europe, were are...
We updated our #climatescenarios toolkit with a new module. What financial risks and opportunities does decarbonizing the power sector entail?
Continue reading here → https://climatescenarios.org/power-sector/
@[email protected], @[email protected], @[email protected], @[email protected]
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/uclab_potsdam/status/1318924374867611648
In this module we explore the risks and opportunities that result from the decarbonization of the power sector and we explain why investors should take climate policy into account in their decision-making. We will explore the changes in electricity production and revenue, the changing risk structure of the power sector, the risk of fuel costs and emission costs, and the need for clean investments.
In the Paris Agreement of 2015, the international community agreed goals to keep temperatures from increasing, but how do we get there? #climatescenarios (1 / 4)
→ https://climatescenarios.org/emissions-gap/
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/uclab_potsdam/status/1272450347240488965
Just launched the SENSES Toolkit: making climate change scenarios more accessible and useful by creating innovative data visualisations and data narratives!
→ https://climatescenarios.org
@[email protected], @[email protected], @[email protected], @[email protected]
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/uclab_potsdam/status/1268100654981156864
Clear explanations and clean visualizations to make sense of #climatescenarios. Well done! Congrats to the team for launching the SENSES Toolkit today!
Just launched the SENSES Toolkit: making climate change scenarios more accessible and useful by creating innovative data visualisations and data narratives!
→ https://climatescenarios.org
@[email protected], @[email protected], @[email protected], @[email protected]
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/uclab_potsdam/status/1268100654981156864
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