@andyjennings
My favourite line re recent polling allegedly showing One Notion sweeping the sweepstakes:
“Despite consistently espousing this rather measured view on polling, signs are emerging that Hanson has perhaps begun a rough headcount of the unhatched eggs.”

#AusPol #polling

The Conversation: AI is replacing humans in responding to some surveys – but simulated opinions are not the same as public opinion. “Could AI models stand in for hundreds or thousands of people, emulating the range of answers humans would provide? This practice, known as synthetic surveys or silicon sampling, is already happening, and it’s far less expensive. But are the results trustworthy?”

https://rbfirehose.com/2026/06/01/the-conversation-ai-is-replacing-humans-in-responding-to-some-surveys-but-simulated-opinions-are-not-the-same-as-public-opinion/
The Conversation: AI is replacing humans in responding to some surveys – but simulated opinions are not the same as public opinion

The Conversation: AI is replacing humans in responding to some surveys – but simulated opinions are not the same as public opinion. “Could AI models stand in for hundreds or thousands of peop…

ResearchBuzz: Firehose
I haven't voted yet. I wanted to vote #Porter. It seems unlikely two Republicans will lock the many Democrats out of California. A lot of people focus on #Polling. I wish #California had #RankedChoice so we could just #VoteYourConscience
"Just days after Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeated Sen. John Cornyn in the Texas Senate Republican runoff, a new poll finds that he is trailing the Democratic challenger, but only narrowly":
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/05/29/talarico-leads-paxton-in-texas-senate-poll-after-runoff/90281371007/?tbref=hp
#politics #TXsen #polling
Talarico leads Paxton in first Texas Senate poll after GOP runoff

A new poll shows Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 47% to 44% in the Texas Senate race — within the margin of error.

USA TODAY

Participatory voting is useful as a way to obtain early information; a “straw poll” provides public information about viewpoints in the room

https://www.conferencesthatwork.com/index.php/event-design/2016/04/participatory-voting-at-events-part-1-introduction

#ParticipatoryVoting #voting #polling #facilitation #DecisionMaking #events #MeetingDesign #eventprofs

With 𝗥𝗲𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺 𝗨𝗞 leading recent 𝘞𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘳 voting intention polls, do 𝘆𝗼𝘂 think the traditional two-party system in the UK is broken for good? Who gets 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗲 if a General Election were held tomorrow? 🗳️
#UKPolitics #Polling #ReformUK #Labour

Trump Faces Significant Drop in Approval Among Young Male Voters

📰 Original title: Trump's poll numbers with key demographic shock CNN data guru: 'Oh my goodness'

🤖 IA: It's clickbait ⚠️
👥 Users: It's clickbait ⚠️

View full AI summary https://en.killbait.com/trump-faces-significant-drop-in-approval-among-young-male-voters.html?utm_source=mastodon_world&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=killbait.mastodon_world

#politics #trump #polling #youngvoters

Trump Faces Significant Drop in Approval Among Young Male Voters

CNN data analyst Harry Enten highlighted a dramatic decline in President Donald Trump's favorability among men under 30, a demographic that played a crucial role in his 2024 election victory. During a discussion about Trump's upcoming UFC fight on the White House South Lawn, Enten shared polling data showing Trump's net approval rating among young men has dropped from a +1 point advantage in 2024 to -55 points currently. CNN anchor Kate Bolduan expressed disbelief at the numbers, confirming with Enten that it was not a typo. Enten suggested that this significant drop in support might explain why Trump is pursuing high-profile events like the UFC fight, potentially aiming to regain attention and appeal with younger voters. The shift represents a 56-point swing against the president within this key group, signaling challenges for his political standing and future campaigns.

KillBait

Trump Faces Significant Drop in Approval Among Young Male Voters

📰 Original title: Trump's poll numbers with key demographic shock CNN data guru: 'Oh my goodness'

🤖 IA: It's clickbait ⚠️
👥 Users: It's clickbait ⚠️

View full AI summary https://en.killbait.com/trump-faces-significant-drop-in-approval-among-young-male-voters.html?utm_source=mastodon_social&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=killbait.mastodon_social

#politics #trump #polling #youngvoters

Trump Faces Significant Drop in Approval Among Young Male Voters

CNN data analyst Harry Enten highlighted a dramatic decline in President Donald Trump's favorability among men under 30, a demographic that played a crucial role in his 2024 election victory. During a discussion about Trump's upcoming UFC fight on the White House South Lawn, Enten shared polling data showing Trump's net approval rating among young men has dropped from a +1 point advantage in 2024 to -55 points currently. CNN anchor Kate Bolduan expressed disbelief at the numbers, confirming with Enten that it was not a typo. Enten suggested that this significant drop in support might explain why Trump is pursuing high-profile events like the UFC fight, potentially aiming to regain attention and appeal with younger voters. The shift represents a 56-point swing against the president within this key group, signaling challenges for his political standing and future campaigns.

KillBait
Is Trump responsible for the economy? G. Elliott Morris reports 58% of Americans say he made the economy worse, with voters now blaming him over Biden for high living costs. New polling reveals widespread financial anxiety regarding groceries, gas, and housing. Dive deeper into the findings: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-05-27-trump-owns-the-cost-of-living-crisis #TrumpEconomy #CostOfLiving #Polling
Americans blame Trump for the cost-of-living crisis. Here's what they want done about it.

A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds 58% of Americans say Trump has made the economy worse — and voters are blaming him, not Biden, for the high cost of living.

Strength In Numbers