Det finns två skäl till att ett samhälle kollapsar, säger Peter Turchin i sin bok End times.
att inkomsterna polariseras så att de fattiga blir fattigare och de rika väldigt mycket rikare,
att de rika, eller ”eliterna” som det kallas med en sociologisk term, struntar i det gemensamma och t.ex. vägrar betala skatt.
https://blog.zaramis.se/2025/07/29/narmar-vi-oss-ett-systemsammanbrott/
Dans un entretien au « Monde », le professeur à l’université du Connecticut explique comment, à travers l’histoire, certaines constantes, telles que la croissance des inégalités et la « surproduction d’élites », favorisent l’émergence de crises, comme celle observée, aujourd’hui, aux Etats-Unis.
History is driven by surprising events, forecasting is driven by predictable ones.
To this I amend "as practiced". Approaches such as #PeterTurchin's #Cliodynamics or #DavidChristian's #BigHistory, along with other forms of #Systems, #Complexity, #Evolutionary, and #Information based approaches suggest that there may be lenses through which both the past and future become clearer.
I'd suggest that this observation might be most useful for identifying potentially poorly considered history and forecasting practices.
20/end/
Jan Wiklund
Christophe Neff
BC Info Bot
Open Water Otter VE7GR🏳️🌈
Cheshire
Richard
Doc Edward Morbius ⭕