@soatok Yeah, it's hard to accurately guess at these timelines. Lots has happened between now and then - I'm a little surprised that it's spacex/xAI going public first instead of openai, and the fact that Nasdaq has changed the rules specifically for them means that investment and retirement funds will be left holding the bag after 14 days.
All signs (to me, based on how there's still no amazing use for this tech) still point towards a catastrophic bubble pop, now made worse by the nasdaq rule change. I don't want to even try and guess a date now, because there's too many moving pieces financially.
spacex/xai's chart of total addressable market in their IPO document (below) really says all it needs to say about the ai hype scam.
Meanwhile, many software companies/projects are putting themselves on the path to an immense amount of technical debt and employee skill loss with this garbage (even my workplace is starting to show signs of going in that direction) 