Pavel Podvig

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204 Posts

Russian nuclear forces, nuclear arms control, disarmament, verification. Strictly personal views here.

I am @russianforces on Twitter and https://russianforces.org on the web. Bio and publications are at https://russianforces.org/podvig

There are many reasons a statement like this would be extremely unhelpful. For one, an accident at NPP and nuclear use are very different events, physically and politically. If concerns about a provocation are legitimate, there are better ways to prevent it. It is important to make it clear that very much the only way a significant radiological event can happen at ZNPP is if it is deliberately created from the inside
What just happened? My (Android) phone went crazy as if someone took over the input. It started just typing some seemingly random test and won't let me take over. I saw letters being typed in GKeep - see below. Finally switched it off and did factory reset. What was it?

In 2016, U.S. said it will allow the IAEA to monitor the plutonium disposition process. It is not known if the IAEA was monitoring this shipment

RT @[email protected]

US begins shipping excess plutonium to WIPP for disposition https://fissilematerials.org/blog/2023/01/us_begins_shipping_excess.html This is the "dilute and dispose" program that will place up to 6 MT of non-pit plutonium in WIPP.

🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/fissilematerial/status/1619044715441307649

US begins shipping excess plutonium to WIPP for disposition

In December 2022 US Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration and Office of Environmental Management completed the first shipment of plutonium from the K-Area of the Savannah River Site to the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) in Mew Mexico....

IPFM Blog

I'd say that great powers do arms control when they feel like it. And don't when they don't.

RT @[email protected]

Heather Williams @[email protected] hopes China comes to understand that arms control: 1) is what great powers do, & 2) can get them things they want (isn’t a gift you give to someone else)

🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/DouglasBShaw/status/1618646903331364865

Douglas B. Shaw on Twitter

“Heather Williams @csisponi hopes China comes to understand that arms control: 1) is what great powers do, & 2) can get them things they want (isn’t a gift you give to someone else)”

Twitter

This is a defeatist attitude. 'Tactics once considered immoral and unthinkable' cannot just 'become commonplace' They have no agency. If we don't make them become something they never will

RT @[email protected]

Eric Schlosser has a similar analysis in his new essay @[email protected]. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/01/russias-invasion-ukraine-war-nuclear-weapon-nato/672727/

🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/Cirincione/status/1617572598216523778

The Greatest Nuclear Threat We Face Is a Russian Victory

Putin’s blackmail is dangerous; its success would be even worse.

The Atlantic

What do you expect from the poor Elon Musk if even NASA doesn't quite get rocket propulsion and Newton's Third Law. Or people who try to explain it...

RT @[email protected]

3rd law also tells us how thrust is produced. In a rocket or jet you push something (air, fuel, etc) out one direction. This produces a reaction force in the opposite direction. That’s what we call thrust

Same deal with aircraft propellers, swimming, and birds flapping wings

🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/DrChrisCombs/status/1612103391379091457

Chris Combs (iterative design enjoyer) on Twitter

“3rd law also tells us how thrust is produced. In a rocket or jet you push something (air, fuel, etc) out one direction. This produces a reaction force in the opposite direction. That’s what we call thrust Same deal with aircraft propellers, swimming, and birds flapping wings”

Twitter

A good take on ChatGPT etc. by @[email protected]. Chimes with something I've seen elsewhere - there are too many texts that just regurgitate or simply copy-paste what is already out there. People who produce them are in trouble. Which may be a good thing

RT @[email protected]

Ask not for whom the ChatGPT bell tolls, it tolls for thee...Read @[email protected]'s latest and go have a good cry https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-01-05/chatgpt-and-dall-e-have-come-to-save-the-arts-from-themselves?utm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter?sref=ubZrhLHZ via @[email protected]

🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/jamesgibney/status/1611037862904107010

This is not good at all...
C'mon, ChatGPT, you can do better that this...
Framing this as "let's don't worry about red lines" is another "stop worrying and love the bomb" take. I'd say, "keep worrying but keep building up pressure" is a better approach. Interestingly, the idea that it's "safe to leave" is for what @[email protected] got some flak