Pavel Podvig

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204 Posts

Russian nuclear forces, nuclear arms control, disarmament, verification. Strictly personal views here.

I am @russianforces on Twitter and https://russianforces.org on the web. Bio and publications are at https://russianforces.org/podvig

In his cover feature for #ArmsControlToday this month,
@russianforces researcher Pavel Podvig suggests that despite the problems facing nuclear arms control today, the system is not entirely broken.

Read "Restoring Russian-U.S. Arms Control" at https://www.ArmsControl.org/Today.

Arms Control Association | The authoritative source on arms control since 1971.

Just a thought about arms control. Why does it matter if China has 1500 nuclear warheads (and not 400+)? Or that the US has 3500 (and not 1550)? Russia has 2000 non-strategic warheads or 20? Nothing good, of course, but it's not really important. Numbers don't matter.
A short piece on nuclear sharing with @russianforces and Zia Mian:
https://thebulletin.org/2023/07/bombs-away-confronting-the-deployment-of-nuclear-weapons-in-non-nuclear-weapon-countries/#post-heading
We summarize historical cases of nuclear sharing, its current status - including ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ nuclear weapon deployment in Belarus, and suggest the issue as an agenda item for the NPT Review Cycle
Bombs away: Confronting the deployment of nuclear weapons in non-nuclear weapon countries

Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty members meet in Vienna next week to begin another cycle of assessing progress on nonproliferation and disarmament. A contentious part of the NPT debate will likely involve the NPT countries that do not have nuclear weapons but host nuclear weapons belonging to the United States or Russia, which recently announced it would station nuclear weapons in Belarus.

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
There are many reasons a statement like this would be extremely unhelpful. For one, an accident at NPP and nuclear use are very different events, physically and politically. If concerns about a provocation are legitimate, there are better ways to prevent it. It is important to make it clear that very much the only way a significant radiological event can happen at ZNPP is if it is deliberately created from the inside
My Twitter to Mastodon post doesn't seem to be working. But I will try to either post things here or duplicate my Twitter posts manually.

RT @[email protected]

Empire and colonies: an introduction

1. Russia imposes Communism in Czechia

2. Making it difficult to impossible to function without paying lip service to the Communist shibboleths

3. Now Russians are criticising Czechs for having paid the lip service to the said shibboleths https://twitter.com/russianforces/status/1619767757360492545

๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿ”—: https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1620083362491936770

Pavel Podvig on Twitter

โ€œPetr Pavel is the embodiment of conformism - from the communist party to NATO HQ - and yet he feels he can lecture Navalny about nationalism. Pathetic.โ€

Twitter
Don't give me that, please. One could certainly function in the 1985 Czechoslovakia without joining communist party. Even in the army. I would have said nothing if, say, Havel or Walesa said something like that. But, of course, they wouldn't have.

Petr Pavel is the embodiment of conformism - from the communist party to NATO HQ - and yet he feels he can lecture Navalny about nationalism. Pathetic.

RT @[email protected]

New Czech president Petr Pavel about navalny: โ€œHeโ€™s definitely not a liberal democrat, heโ€™s another kind of russian nationalist.โ€

๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿ”—: https://twitter.com/reshetz/status/1619636605211545600

Mira of Kyiv on Twitter

โ€œNew Czech president Petr Pavel about navalny: โ€œHeโ€™s definitely not a liberal democrat, heโ€™s another kind of russian nationalist.โ€โ€

Twitter
What just happened? My (Android) phone went crazy as if someone took over the input. It started just typing some seemingly random test and won't let me take over. I saw letters being typed in GKeep - see below. Finally switched it off and did factory reset. What was it?

In 2016, U.S. said it will allow the IAEA to monitor the plutonium disposition process. It is not known if the IAEA was monitoring this shipment

RT @[email protected]

US begins shipping excess plutonium to WIPP for disposition https://fissilematerials.org/blog/2023/01/us_begins_shipping_excess.html This is the "dilute and dispose" program that will place up to 6 MT of non-pit plutonium in WIPP.

๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿ”—: https://twitter.com/fissilematerial/status/1619044715441307649

US begins shipping excess plutonium to WIPP for disposition

In December 2022 US Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration and Office of Environmental Management completed the first shipment of plutonium from the K-Area of the Savannah River Site to the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) in Mew Mexico....

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