Credit didn't get the memo.
| Bio | 5x Dow & Founders Award Winner. Risk-On/Off $RORO ETF, Junk-On/Off $JOJO ETF, & $ATACX Mutual Fund Portfolio Manager. Publisher Of The Lead-Lag Report. |
| The Lead-Lag Report | leadlagreport.substack.com |
| Bio | 5x Dow & Founders Award Winner. Risk-On/Off $RORO ETF, Junk-On/Off $JOJO ETF, & $ATACX Mutual Fund Portfolio Manager. Publisher Of The Lead-Lag Report. |
| The Lead-Lag Report | leadlagreport.substack.com |
Fasting taught me more about investing than any model.
Both require tolerating discomfort without reacting.
Both punish those who chase every signal.
Both reward a process — not a prediction.
The market, like hunger, passes.
Discipline, like compounding, accumulates.
Risk-on: equities up, credit tight, EM leads, dollar weak.
Risk-off: Treasuries rally, gold bid, yen strengthens, defensives lead.
Most investors watch one market. The edge is watching all of them simultaneously.
Divergence is the warning. $TLT $GLD $EEM