Full-stack web developer and business owner. Museum board member. CBJ fan.
Probably exploring backwater on a kayak.
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This is simultaneously the dumbest and most awesome way to determine a National Championship.
March Madness is undefeated.
Tonight could prove big for the #CBJ, as they have the chance to gain points off of a bad Rangers team on the 2nd of a back-to-back. If they can’t win that game…
Meanwhile, we get to pull for the Habs over the Detroit (or at least just a 2-point game) and Ottawa over the Islanders (or, again, just a 2-pointer). If the Jets can drop the Bruins (unlikely, but hey, one can dream), that would make for a perfect evening on the out of town scoreboard for the Jackets.
Ah, yes, the day every sports fan waits for all year long…
...the day the #CBJ only have 15 games left in the regular season.
The Jackets start the day with a Magic Number (discounting tie-breakers) of 30. They are 1 point (and a tie-breaker) out of both WC2 and WC1. They are 2 points (and a tie-breaker) out of MET3 and 3 points (and a tie-breaker) out of MET2. They have a game in hand on each of those four spots.
Since the #CBJ also still have a game remaining against the Isles, winning that would put them in control Metro 3 as well.
A Canes regulation win over the Pens would not change the Jacket’s Magic Number, but would put them just a tie-breaker behind controlling their own destiny for Metro 2.
It sucks that the teams above the #CBJ keep winning, but it doesn’t matter. If they take care of their own business, they no longer need any help.
Just win, baby.
With 15 games remaining in the regular season, the #CBJ start the day with a Magic Number (discounting tie-breakers) of 30 (with 81 points). They have a 30 possible points left to gain. Both BOS and DET only have 28 possible points remaining (with 82 points each).
The Jackets officially control their own destiny for both WC spots.
If each team continues to win at the same rate they have in the last 10, there would be some movement:
BUF - 115
MON - 101
TBL - 94
CAR - 112
NYI - 102
#CBJ - 101
PIT - 99
BOS - 99
OTT - 98
A pretty nice outcome from a small sample size.
So, the #CBJ are right in there.
One of the teams projected in that 94 - 96 range will go on a 3-game losing streak that will most likely sink their season.
If you are the CBJ and can avoid that, those 4 OTL points in the last 10 games are likely to have been the difference between making the playoffs and not.
So, what happens if each team gains points somewhere between what they have been all season and what they have been in the last 10? If you look at the average of the points each team is gaining between those two, we get:
BUF - 106
MON - 96
TBL - 94
CAR - 106
NYI - 96
#CBJ - 95
BOS - 94
PIT - 94
OTT - 91
If each team continues to win at the same rate they have all season, there isn’t any movement in the standings, which I expected this far into the season.
The sample size is so big and there simply are not enough difference in number of games remaining. It would put both Detroit and the #CBJ in a points tie at 88 for the WC2 (with the Jackets losing the tie breaker).