Robert ReichThere’s a dirty Trump trick you need to look out for. He used it in 2020 to try to overturn the election, and he’s going to do it again. But it doesn’t work if you know it’s coming.
Watch out for Trump to exploit something elections experts call the “red mirage” to prematurely declare victory before all the votes are counted.
You see, in almost every election, Republicans appear to take an early lead. That’s the red mirage.
Then that lead gets smaller throughout… https://www.instagram.com/p/DB9oGT9py7R/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon
Robert Reich on Instagram: "There’s a dirty Trump trick you need to look out for. He used it in 2020 to try to overturn the election, and he’s going to do it again. But it doesn’t work if you know it’s coming. Watch out for Trump to exploit something elections experts call the “red mirage” to prematurely declare victory before all the votes are counted. You see, in almost every election, Republicans appear to take an early lead. That’s the red mirage. Then that lead gets smaller throughout the night, which is called the “blue shift.” This happens because Republican votes tend to be counted before Democratic votes. It’s not magic. Votes are counted by precinct, and Democrats tend to live in more densely populated, urban precincts, while Republicans tend to live in more sparsely populated, rural ones. It just takes longer to count the votes in a precinct with a lot of people than in a precinct with fewer people. Also, Democrats are more likely to vote by mail, and mail-in votes take longer to count. Some can't even be counted until Election Day. The 2024 election will be close, and early in the night, Trump is likely to appear to be ahead and again use that early lead to falsely claim victory. Mirages can be confusing, but if you know what they are, you won’t be fooled by them. Please help spread the word about the red mirage so people know what to expect on election night. Do not fall for this Trump trick."
33K likes, 820 comments - rbreich on November 4, 2024: "There’s a dirty Trump trick you need to look out for. He used it in 2020 to try to overturn the election, and he’s going to do it again. But it doesn’t work if you know it’s coming. Watch out for Trump to exploit something elections experts call the “red mirage” to prematurely declare victory before all the votes are counted. You see, in almost every election, Republicans appear to take an early lead. That’s the red mirage. Then that lead gets smaller throughout the night, which is called the “blue shift.” This happens because Republican votes tend to be counted before Democratic votes. It’s not magic. Votes are counted by precinct, and Democrats tend to live in more densely populated, urban precincts, while Republicans tend to live in more sparsely populated, rural ones. It just takes longer to count the votes in a precinct with a lot of people than in a precinct with fewer people. Also, Democrats are more likely to vote by mail, and mail-in votes take longer to count. Some can't even be counted until Election Day. The 2024 election will be close, and early in the night, Trump is likely to appear to be ahead and again use that early lead to falsely claim victory. Mirages can be confusing, but if you know what they are, you won’t be fooled by them. Please help spread the word about the red mirage so people know what to expect on election night. Do not fall for this Trump trick.".
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