14 Sep, Covid-19 NSW
STEADY
A period of respite more through luck than design. Cases in USA & Europe are rising and with waning immunity our turn will come.
▶ Hospital patients at baseline
▶ Sewage surveillance and reported infections STEADY
GourlaySyd
- 246 Followers
- 80 Following
- 118 Posts
Independent thinker and polynerd. Consulting Psychologist with Cambridge University Psychology and Theoretical Physics degrees. Compulsion to deeply understand, add insight and to call out irrationality. Particularly the madness surrounding Covid-19 action and inaction. Twitter refugee #MaskUp #CovidIsNotOver
Our immunity is waning. Our current bivalent vaccines aren’t designed for the new XBB-related variants.
This is what’s happening in the US right now. Without the new updated monovalent XBB vaccines (newly launched in USA) we will also see this sort of rapid surge in new cases.
31 Aug, Cøvid-19 NSW
NEXT WAVE: at an ebb before next tidal surge
▶ Hospital patients trundling along the new baseline: 612 patients ↓3.5% fall (↑0.2% last week)
▶ Sewage surveillance: Steady
▶ Infections (3-week moving averages): down ↓1.2% (RAT ↓3.6%, PCR ↑2.1%)
17 Aug, Covid-19 NSW
NEXT WAVE poised to take off
▶ Sewage surveillance: Bondi up sharply
▶ Reported infections climb (up ↑7% this week, ↑0.8% last week)
▶ Covid-19 hospital patients poised to head upward
▶ EG.5 variant takes hold
10 Aug, Covid-19 NSW
Infections at a turning point, approaching the minimum before the new wave begins. Hospital patients down, but will soon follow.
▶ Fall in sewage detections slows. Bondi at a turning point
▶ Reported infections up marginally ↑~1%
3 Aug, Covid-19 NSW
NSW Covid-19 hospitalisations at lowest since “Let it Rip” in Dec 2021.
#LongCovid is the rising tsunami following the quake and continues to harm & debilitate hundreds of thousands of children & adults.
Without mitigations the next wave will follow …
20 Jul, Cøvid-19 NSW
Fall slowing.
Hospital patients could fall to lowest since “Let it Rip” … before the next inevitable rise:
▶ 902 in HOSPITAL (down ↓3%)
▶ Sewage detections falling
▶ 3-week average reported infections down ↓10%
▶ 31 reported deaths
7 Jul, Cøvid-19 NSW
Will we fall below the historic low of 800 hospitalised Cøvid patients?
▶ 1,075 in HOSPITAL (down ↓9%)
▶ Sewage detections falling
▶ 3-week average reported infections down ↓17%
▶ ~435 healthcare workers unable to work
30 Jun, Cøvid-19 NSW
Good news for now, but this is a never-ending cycle of serious illness from a highly infectious airborne disease…until we reduce transmission:
▶ HOSPITALISATIONS falling (↓9%)
▶ Reported infections and sewage detections falling
▶ ~500 healthcare workers unable to work
Covid is still killing thousands of people in Australia.
In 2 months (Jan + Feb 2023):
▶ 980 deaths *from* Cøvid (~ 6000 deaths/yr)
▶ at least 335 Covid-related deaths (contributing factor on death certificate, ~2000 deaths/yr)
