@avilewis

The Iran War was "worth it" to Trump's fossil fuel fascist billion­aires, foreign & domestic.

$234 billion in windfall profits in just a few months.

$30 million an hour in windfall profits leaving town & lining the pockets of #PrinceBonesaw , Putin, Koch Network, and Atlas Network.

We underestimate how far the oil industry will go to consol­i­date all oil supply into the hands of Trump's cronies.

It's the most corrupt industry on the planet.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/15/big-oil-huge-war-windfall-consumers

@Npars01 @avilewis

If this was true, the the oil companies (and the gulf states) wouldn't have spent the last couple of months trying to end this war. The oil industry, like any extractive industry, hates disruption. Even if that disruption is profitable in the short term.

@cian @avilewis

https://popular.info/p/update-after-sending-billions-to

The UAE exited OPEC over #PrinceBonesaw 's collusion over the Iran War with Witkoff & Kushner to prolong the war on Iran.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/uae-says-opec-opec-exit-was-sovereign-strategic-decision-not-political-move-2026-05-16/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c70vjpny0dno

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesbroughel/2026/05/02/the-uae-quit-opec-because-its-sovereign-wealth-now-dwarfs-oil/

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/the-big-opec-shakeup-is-about-a-lot-more-than-oil.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/29/trump-says-its-great-that-uae-pulled-out-of-opec.html

https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/28/business/uae-leaves-opec-oil-cartel-intl

Breaking up OPEC was a long held goal of Koch Network.
Putin, #PrinceBonesaw & Koch Network are in a fossil fuel axis alliance to keep captive oil markets hooked on high has prices.

@Npars01 @avilewis
Breaking up OPEC has been a long term policy goal of the US since its formation.
I don't think anyone expected UAE to leave OPEC in a fit of pique over not getting their way over Iran, but anyway
that has more to do with changing alliances in the region and tensions between MBZ and MBS that existed long before this war. And given that theUAE has now caved, and it's looking likely that MBZ will be sidelined within the UAE, who knows how long that will last.

There is no alliance between Putin and the Koch 'network' (the Koch network is about domestic US policy. Koch industries is presumably what you mean, but they're not hugely influential globally compared to companies like Chevron).

Obviously oil exporters want high prices for their commodities. While Russia benefited from this war, they were fairly active in both trying to prevent it, and to end the war. And if the war had gone on long enough the result would have been demand destruction (less demand for oil), which isn't really in oil companies interests (even if it might be good for the planet.)

@cian @avilewis

Throughout history there have been imperialists & geopolitical price-fixing cartels that never spoke directly to each other.

They come in many forms.

One variation is "Follow the Leader".
For example, Japan, Mussolini, Hitler, & Franco responded to the stupid Smoot-Hawley tariffs by ginning up fascist takeovers & starting invasions.

Historian S.C.M. Paine speaks contemptuously of half-court tennis & a lack of foreign policy planning.
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/interview-sarah-c-paine

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