With even russian needing to update Ukrainian positions West of Chasiv Yar. Lets do a refresher thread of this mammoth battle for the city of pre war size of 13 000 🧵 1/
Phase I: The Staging Ground (May 2023 – Feb 2024)
Following the fall of Bakhmut, Chasiv Yar served as a Ukrainian stronghold to stabilize the front. For nearly a year, russia conducted limited strikes while regrouping after their heavy losses in #Bakhmut. 2/
Phase III: The Canal Deadlock (July 2024 – Oct 2024)
russian forces captured the Kanal district but were stalled by the Siverskyi Donets–Donbas Canal, which acted as a natural anti-tank moat. Intense drone warfare and "meat-grinder" infantry assaults characterized this period. 3/
Phase IV: The Crossing & Encirclement Attempt (Late 2025 – Early 2026)
russian forces successfully established bridgeheads across the canal and captured several surrounding villages to the south and north. They attempted to envelop the city from the flanks to avoid a direct uphill battle 4/
Phase V: The Ridge Fight (Current Phase – May 2026)
Fighting is currently concentrated in the city center and the high ground. As of May 11, 2026, the frontline is largely static due to a brief "Victory Day" lull, though Russian forces continue mechanized "probing" attacks 5/
While specific figures for only Chasiv Yar are classified, the broader offensive in this sector has seen russian casualties (killed and wounded) reach an estimated 20,000–25,000 per year just on this axis 6/
russia has also lost hundreds of tanks and IFVs in the "fields of death" surrounding the city. Satellite imagery has shown "vehicle graveyards" along the canal crossing points 7/
youtu.be/_-NkzQQt6SE?...
Current advancement speed is 14 meters per day.
While elevation makes #ChasivYar import, its more like a satellite stronghold before the true Fortess Cities of the defenses belt.
3 years, 100k losses and russia hasn't been able to take a ravean before the main battle of this 1 line 8/end
P.P.S mea culpa. No Phase II in the thread...crash..ee..flyes..flour
April 2024 – June 2024
Full-scale offensive operations began on April 4, 2024. Russian forces captured the village of Bohdanivka and reached the "Kanal" micro-district. This phase was marked by massive gliding bomb (KAB) strikes.
"russia’s top commanders have convinced Putin their forces could seize the whole of the Donbas by autumn"
Hilarious. Sure 🙄😁😁🙄😁🙄
www.ft.com/content/0927...