@randahl Trump will not interpret Orbán’s loss as evidence that his own model is less attractive than he thinks. He will interpret it as evidence that the world is even more rigged than he thinks.

And that means the lesson drawn will be the wrong one.

So the clean forecast is: whining about interference, moral inversion of the loser into victim, attacks on Brussels, soft distancing from Orbán’s tactical failure and a renewed push to cultivate other internal European spoilers