RE: https://mastodon.social/@Daojoan/116389155177174187

1000% this:

“Optimism is treated like a belief in astrology.

Pessimism reads as intelligence now.

Optimism reads as naivety.

This has gotten so baked into educated Western culture that most people don't notice they're doing it. But it's toxic, all the same.”

“Doom = clicks. Doom = ad revenue. Doom got you a booking on Joe Rogan. Pessimists built media empires, and optimists built water treatment plants in sub-Saharan Africa and nobody wrote a magazine cover about them.”
“ Plenty of problems didn't get fixed. Plenty of hopeful people were dead wrong. But the doomers were also wrong, and the doomers didn't build anything while they were busy ~being wrong.
The optimists who failed at least generated attempts.”
“Nobody puts the careful, uncertain forecasters on television.
"I see arguments on both sides and I'm not confident" doesn't fill a segment.”
“If you predict a catastrophe and you're wrong, nobody circles back to check - and your wrong call just dissolves. If you predict things will work out and they don't, that shit follows you around forever. The lopsidedness of the payoff alone is enough to push smart, careful people toward the darkest possible forecast even when the evidence is genuinely mixed.
Being wrong about doom costs you nothing.
Being wrong about hope costs you your career.”

“Cornel West split optimism and hope into two separate things...

• Optimism is a spectator sport, in his framing. You watch the data and decide whether the trend lines look good.

• Hope is a commitment to act as though improvement is possible, because without that commitment you guarantee it isn't.”

MIC DROP:

“The optimists who were wrong still attempted something.

The pessimists who were right attempted nothing.

And the world runs on attempts, not on accurate // profound predictions of failure.”

“When pessimism becomes the default in public conversation, it starts building the world it claims to be describing. People who believe nothing can be different don't vote, don't volunteer, don't start companies, don't run for office, don't build the thing that might have mattered.

Pessimism at scale is a self-fulfilling prophecy.”

“I would rather be wrong about what we're capable of than right about why we shouldn't bother trying.”

You and me both, @Daojoan — thanks for articulating that