40% of votes have been counted in the Special Election Runoff in Georgia to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene in the US House.
1/x
40% of votes have been counted in the Special Election Runoff in Georgia to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene in the US House.
1/x
The Cook Political Report adjusted its US House ratings for six elections, five of which moved in favor of Democrats.
2/x
According to the NY Times, Trump won GA-14 in 2024 by 37%, and MTG won GA-14 in 2024 by 29%.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-georgia-us-house-14.html
3/x
Therefore, Democrat Shawn Harris would need a margin swing of at least 29% to win the election.
Typically in special elections in 2025 and 2026, Democrats can achieve a margin swing of about 10% to 15%.
4/x
The American public is upset at higher gas prices, triggered by the restriction of boat traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which was a consequence of Trump's decision to launch an offensive war against Iran, upon the urging of the Israeli government.
5/x
Trump has threatened to commit war crimes against Iran, going so far as to threaten to destroy Iranian civilization.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/politics/trump-iran-civilization-threat.html
6/x
At the same time, Trump appears to find paying attention to the war he started to be a boring chore, preferring to instead focus on his plans for building a White House Ballroom, admiring a gold tractor, making up a story about Sharpie Pens, and wondering whether he could have taken Elvis Presley in a fight.
7/x
A sane country with a functional government would have removed Trump from office months ago, but that appears unlikely given the largely unwavering loyalty he receives from Republicans in the US Congress.
8/x
Elections, like the ones today in Wisconsin and Georgia, can be a metric of just how upset the public is about the outrageous conduct of the Republican Commander-in-Chief, even though Trump won't personally be on the ballot.
9/x
With 45% of votes counted, Republican Clay Fuller leads in GA-14 by 8%.
10/x
Polls close in Wisconsin in 37 minutes.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/us/elections/results-wisconsin-supreme-court.html
11/x
The Associated Press has called the Special Election Runoff in GA-14 for Republican Clay Fuller.
12/x
With 57% of votes counted, Republican Clay Fuller leads by 12%.
13/x
With 78% of votes counted, Republican Clay Fuller leads by 12%.
14/x
The first results from the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election have been reported.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/us/elections/results-wisconsin-supreme-court.html
15/x
Liberal candidates have preformed well in recent Wisconsin Supreme Court elections.
16/x
Janet Protasiewicz, a liberal candidate, won her election in 2023 by 11%.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2024/10/my-2023-political-donations.html
17/x
Susan Crawford, a liberal candidate, won her election in 2025 by 10.1%.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/04/01/us/elections/results-wisconsin.html
18/x
Wisconsin Supreme Court elections are technically non-partisan, but in practice one candidate always ends up ideologically aligned with Democrats, and one candidate always ends up ideologically aligned with Republicans.
19/x

Wisconsin is a perennial swing state.
In each of the three most recent presidential elections, Wisconsin was decided by less than 1%.
Wisconsin also voted for the winner each time Trump has been on the ballot.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/democratic-victory-fund.html
21/x