A forecast of the fair market value of SpaceX's businesses

https://futuresearch.ai/spacex-ipo-valuation/

A $1.75 Trillion IPO Would Be Overpaying 30% for SpaceX

A sum-of-the-parts forecast of SpaceX's fair market value across seven business segments. The $1.75 trillion IPO target is approximately 29% above the median fair value of $1.25 trillion.

FutureSearch

An passive investors are going to get hosed by this thanks to NASDAQ cooking the rules to favor Elon and his band of misfits.

No longer will there be a year of price discovery for index funds, 15 days. Meaning index funds have to buy it at the peak of the hype cycle. Will be a huge wealth transfer from mom and pop retirement accounts to the ultra wealthy.

Wow! This comment inspired me to dig deeper.

After 20+ years in the market, today I learned: "The S&P 500 is a float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted index."

So presumably an S&P 500 index fund is not disadvantaged, since it is tracking a float-adjusted index, i.e. the weight of SpaceX will be tiny if its float is tiny.

Or, is there a nuance that I'm missing?

Low float, large cap companies will get a 5x multiplier.