Iran’s proxies conducted three attacks against U.S. forces in Iraq and Syria on March 31, 2026, demonstrating Iran's continued ability to direct and enable attacks against U.S. forces. Simultaneously, Israel struck Iranian targets in Syria on March 31, further escalating tensions between Iran and Israel.
Iranian proxies launched missiles into the U.S. embassy in Baghdad and the U.S. Al-Tanf garrison in Syria on March 31. Kataeb Hezbollah claimed responsibility for the attack on the U.S. embassy, while Aasu’ib Ahl al-Haq claimed responsibility for the attack on the Al-Tanf garrison. These attacks, conducted less than 24 hours apart, suggest improved coordination among Iranian proxy groups.
Israeli forces conducted airstrikes on Iranian air defense systems and military infrastructure in Homs, Syria, on March 31. These strikes were in response to Iran’s recent attacks on Israel. The strikes likely aimed to degrade Iran's ability to defend its assets in Syria and to deter future attacks on Israel.
Iran is likely attempting to signal to the U.S. that it can inflict significant costs on U.S. forces in the region. The coordinated attacks by Iranian proxies and Israel’s retaliatory strikes indicate a rapidly escalating conflict between Iran and Israel, with the U.S. increasingly caught in the middle. Iran’s actions are likely intended to pressure the U.S. to moderate its support for Israel and to reduce its military presence in the region.
https://understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-update-special-report-march-31-2026/
Source: Zalmay Khalilzad (@realZalmayMK)
[ https://x.com/realZalmayMK/status/2039356678483988698 ]
