Charlie Stross4d ago

RE: https://masto.ai/@WellsiteGeo/116295938819935650

By targeting the chief, AT BEST Israel just promoted someone they don't know into the dead man's shoes—someone who knows he's in a fight for survival.

At worst? The Iranian defenses will keep running on rails with nobody in a position to hit the "stop" button.

Decapitation strikes are a TERRIBLE strategy—they leave no way for your adversary to de-escalate.

Show threadGurre Vildskägg4d ago
@cstross
As has been the Israeli strategy vs Hamas: keep killing anyone who can negotiate.
As if people wouldn't notice.
Show threadSeiðr4d ago
@Gurre @cstross The israeli plan is pretty clearly to try for collapse of… every other country in the region, doing it under the umbrella of the USA, and that's more or less like gambling on somebody else's money. You may empty their pockets, but eventually it'll be your legs somebody'll break.
Show threadGurre Vildskägg4d ago

@Illuminatus @cstross
They are clearly going after the lands of countries that won't be able to actually fight back.
Not only snubbing the internationally recognized "1967" borders, but now looking to take southern Lebanon as well.
So far though: no moves at Egypt, Saudi, or Jordan. For they would be a very different ball game than Palestine & Lebanon.

Which leaves Syria. another hornets nest Netanyahu and the whole far-right regime in Israel might go for messing up even more.

Show threadDressToKILT
@Gurre @Illuminatus @cstross they just need living space!
Mar 26 at 4:01pmMastodon for iOS