John Quiggin
Amateur analysis of SA election. A big Labor win is a foregone conclusion, so main question is Libs vs One Nation. Given far-right control of SA Libs by Antic’s MAGA faction, not much to choose between them. #auspol #sapol
Mar 20 at 4:35amWeb
Show threadJohn Quiggin5d ago
Final three most places. will be Libs, ON and Labor, with Labor first or second nearly everywhere. Leakage of ON and Lib prefs means Labor will mostly win if first. If Labor second, whichever right party comes first will win. Looks as if this will mostly be ON #auspol #sapol
Show threadJohn Quiggin5d ago
So, my guess is that ON will be the official opposition, but with only a handful of seats. On past experience, they will make an awful hash of it, even worse than Libs. #auspol #sapol
Show threadMoz5d ago

@johnquiggin do we have a process for changing the official opposition when enough of their MPs quit the party to make them a smaller party than the next runner up?

On past history that could be weeks rather than months.

#AusPol

Show threadDroppie [infosec] 🐨    ​5d ago

@johnquiggin only a bit over 24 hrs to go til #CaseyBriggs + #Tillies double-header night!

#auspol #sapol #Matildas

Show threadlachlan slowly taming rust5d ago
@johnquiggin It sucks for all of us that they get that next step of legitimacy, but feel kinda sad for the people who live there knowing that governments are better with strong opposition, and that's going to be - well, 'an awful hash of it'