So let me get this straight.

Inflation is bad, because it means higher prices and less affordable goods.

Inflation is currently going up.

The immediate reason is because America has started a new oil war in the Middle East.

That's provided the big oil corporations a pretext to put up the prices for oil and gas.

We're in a climate crisis, *20 years* after the Al Gore film An Inconvenient Truth came out.

Despite this, we're still largely dependent on oil and gas for (commuter and freight) transport, heating, and energy. Not to mention plastics.

So the price of anything using oil or gas in its production is going up.

At the same time, the mass rollout of chatbots is raising the price of electronic chips and components. Also energy, including gas.

At the same time, house prices are going up because of an ongoing property speculation bubble. A housing shortage is a contributing factor.

Australia's comfortable oligopolies (Colesworths, the big four banks, Qantas & Virgin, etc.) are likely to use this as a pretext to put up prices and make bigger profits.

So the Reserve Bank's solution to prices going up, and things becoming less affordable, is…

To raise interest rates.

This will make it more expensive to buy solar panels and EVs in an oil crisis.

It will make it more expensive to build housing in a housing crisis.

It will likely lead to higher unemployment.

And it will push up the costs of rents and mortgages, increasing the cost of living.

So to improve the cost of living, we need to increase the cost of living.

Because rich people are making things less affordable, so our system kicks working people.

Am I alone in thinking this just doesn't make sense?

#auspol #uspol #Iran #politics #news #war #capitalism

@aj
Welcome to stagflation. I remember my family cutting back in the 70s when interest rates went high.

Apparently when the rich disagree on how to control the masses, this is what we get.

@aj That or a world war.

@virtuous_sloth @aj

Trumpism is chaos, Trumpism is borderless billionaires.

@aj It makes perfect sense. It pushes all of us away from the few on top. We're too busy trying to keep our lives held together to do anything about them.
@aj ok, I will:
If they dont fight inflation, if they dont raise the price of cash, companies and rich people will borrow more money, buy more stuff, and raise prices more.
That means people who own stuff will gain values, and people who earn wages will lose.
you want to fight it? Lobby for lower consumer taxes, higher property and high income taxes, stronger social support, and housing and renewables incentives. Not lower interest rates.
@aj Peak neoliberalism!
@aj were getting screwed, simple.
Every American president since whenever has moaned about oil dependence then go ahead and build more freeways.
Australian leaders are similar.
As soon as this crisis is over, we'll keep spending on roads like there's no tomorrow.

@aj This would be the perfect time for the government to announce some sort of discount/rebate scheme for the purchase of an EV, imagine how much pressure there would on our oil supply if you could get say 100,000 or more petrol vehicles off the road.

But what do we get from the government???
A "fuel czar", whatever that actually means.

#auspol

@Bot4Sale Yes! Or better yet, more dedicated lanes for buses and bikes, more frequent public transport services. Perhaps even free public transport services for the next month?

@aj @Bot4Sale Nice idea, although public transport is already rather cheap in Australia, making it free for some defined period with a lot of publicity around the oil crisis might get some new people to try it.

A rebate for ebikes would be great too.

@aj _An Inconvenient Truth_ was treated as a bad joke back then, and it still is. I'm surprised you can even find a copy these days.
@aj not sure about Australia, but in the UK rising inflation is also used as an opportunity to screw down wages. Like, oh no, we can’t possibly pay people any more, because that is inflationary 🙄
@aj I personally think higher interest rates in general benefit the average person in comparison to what they do to the investor class. Don't get me wrong, 'we're doing it wrong', but I like the idea of savings earning more than inflation and debt being expensive.
@aj it was 20 years ago I realised that we were never going to solve it, so I moved to Tassie the following year.

@aj

Don't forget fertilizer (natural gas is a feedstock), helium supply (used to make computer chips, spinning hard drives, used to cool the magnets in MRIs) and petrochemicals are almost exclusively the feedstock for the starting materials for (small molecule) pharmaceutical manufacturing.

Re the Reserve Bank, when you only have a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

I think that Alan Kohler pointed out recently, the problem here isn't too much demand, which increasing rates is intended to solve by decreasing consumers' spending.

The problem now is too little supply due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz thanks to the war, something that we as consumers can do nothing about. Buying less stuff won't help.

So increasing interest rates ain't gonna fix anything but make things worse for everyone (who isn't a wealthy economist).

#AusPol