Ghost of Gallipoli: US warships cannot control the Strait of Hormuz | The Strategist

https://lemmy.world/post/44372079

Ghost of Gallipoli: US warships cannot control the Strait of Hormuz | The Strategist - Lemmy.World

Lemmy

Isn’t the US refusing to send it’s warships there? Like it’s not that they can’t, it’s that they’re using their lack of progress or enforcement there to force broad consent to the war in iran from the US’s allies by using the straight closure to force their hand economically.

Why do you assume there is a strategy? If there had been one we wouldn’t be at this point. It’s really sad to think that’s what it boils down to, but it is just:

  • Big toddler wants to show how big and powerful he is
  • Big toddler is offended that nobody wants to play with him any more
  • It’s all about bullying others and pretending that whatever happens was the plan all along. Except now nothing happens and we are all just waiting for the bully to get bored and go play with his new ballroom.

    Why do you assume there is a strategy?

    They’re evil - but they’re not so evil they don’t have a plan. Even if it’s a bad plan, it’s still a plan, and while the main characters here are in fact idiots, there’s some very smart people manipulating them. I don’t know if their strategy will work, but they’re still going to try for it.

    I think they currently don’t have a plan because their original (bad) plan failed, and those in the military with any actual sense are simply trying to minimize casualties because they know the war isn’t worth it.

    It’s slowly dawning on the fascists that they cannot bring about a swift victory because closing the strait and not falling apart from decapitation is what Iran prepared for. Meanwhile the pressure from everyone else to reopen the strait will pile up far faster than Iran’s military can be wiped. Even if that nuked Tehran, it wouldn’t be enough. They’d need to sacrifice far more lives and get their hands dirty to change the equation.

    The only thing they can do is withdraw and claim they’ve done enough damage, which is what they should’ve been planning to do the entire time. It’s what I genuinely thought they were doing, but I was giving them too much credit.