My guess is there will not be a Congressional election this year

https://lemmy.world/post/44266548

this is just an ad for that gambling site
I’m getting pretty tired of the notion that gambling odds are better predictors than polls.
i have family stupid enough to follow those things as if they predict the future
It’s just like a poll! Only you’re only polling people rich and emotionally disconnected enough to want to place these types of bets. I’m sure that won’t skew anything, right?
Wait, are we still talking about money skewing the bet, or are we talking about the bet skewing the reality?
That’s the fun part, it’s both!
Seriously asking: have there ever been academic studies comparing the relative accuracy of polling predictions vs betting predictions?

It’s not even a gambling site.

It’s a site for idiots to funnel money to greedy assholes with insider information.

If you only have publicly available information, you’re just throwing money away if you regularly use the site.

It’s a gambling site

Buddy…

You didn’t have to tell me you didn’t understand.

But I feel like you do that a lot, and I really don’t want to keep getting notified, because this doesn’t seem like a rat occurrence

No, you see it’s an ad for that gambling site that was boosted by a twitter influencer who added value by saying “Let’s fucking go!!! 🔥” And, after that, someone screenshotted this influencer’s post that boosted the gambling site and posted it here. Then people upvoted it.

Was that influencer paid to promote the gambling site? Probably. Was OP paid? Probably not, just a useful idiot.

100% something you see gambling sites do to encourage people to place bets.
Gambling is just polling in 2026.