Mastodawn

Here's a scenario to consider:

1. Xi Jinping decides the time is right to invade Taiwan.
2. With many US forces concentrated in the Middle East, & cruise missiles & smart bombs in reduced supply, the US can’t respond effectively.
3. The invasion of Taiwan, successful or not, cuts off US access to advanced chips (90% made in Taiwan)
4. US tech stocks are wiped out, the US economy goes into freefall.
5. US becomes Russia 2.0: a failed state with a mad dictator, nukes & an economy in shreds.

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Paco Hope Feb 28

@angusm Keep your voice down. Do you want them to HEAR you? Don’t give them ideas!

(Sadly this is insightful and terrifyingly possible)

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Mans R Mar 1

@paco @angusm Surely they've already thought about it. Now 12-15% (depending on source) of Chinese exports go to the US, and maybe they don't want to lose that.

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Paco Hope

@mansr I dunno. If they thought about the impacts of their actions this time, it would be the first time.

We have basically no evidence that they think about long term consequences. No one capable of looking into the future even a little bit would do what they do.

@angusm