RE: https://mastodon.social/@searls/116115186760077991

I'm afraid that Justin is onto something here. If these AI things ever work - and surely someday they will - they are going to be more disruptive than anything in our lifetimes.

@RonJeffries The history of the revolutionary 19th century is relevant. “The revolutions were shaped by a wide variety of causes, which were linked to the short- and long-term socioeconomic transformations brought about by industrialization and the political legacy of the French Revolution.”

Those revolutions all failed, even when people *had* a political legacy to look back to and were under a far weaker surveillance state. I suspect the oligarchs agree w/ Justin, and think they’re safe.

@marick are we then, fucked in your view?

@RonJeffries @marick

I like to put these kinds of questions onto a Wardley Map. Which basically says that some things that were previously expensive become more commodity like, which enable a new wave of innovation because the enabling technology is no longer cost prohibitive.

I tend to agree that there will be significant job restructuring and society can make the transition in a slow and steady way or an abrupt and sudden way. What I don't know is to what degree or what time frame it will happen over.

Wardley map - Wikipedia

@Spoofer3 @RonJeffries Argh. I have some thoughts about the dynamics of definitions that may be relevant, but I am struggling to express them. (Not just here, but in a draft blog post.)

In the meantime, your note has an actual hyperlink. Does this imply that [markdown](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Pierson) works on Mastodon?

William Pierson - Wikipedia

@marick @Spoofer3 @RonJeffries I think the markdown links come from non-mastodon systems that publish to Mastodon over ActivityPub.