@link why is ram so expensive ​​
@kemona_halftau either big tech AI or RAM manufacturers setting the whatever market conditions they want
@link @kemona_halftau it's ai- they're buying up the dim chips for use in GPUs to prevent competitors from starting up datacenters

@julia @link @kemona_halftau More detailed: OpenAI bought 40% of the global supply for the next 12 months of *all* DRAM and even unfinished wafers and some older production machines. They simply want to prevent other AI companies from overtaking them at all cost, as there are zero news of them wanting to produce stuff.
This caused panic-orders of DRAM by every company, sorta like toilet paper in 2020.

Additionally spicy: DRAM manufacturers do not want to increase production for some reason.

@Natanox @julia @link @kemona_halftau Okay I have info on the additional spicy. DRAM manufacturers expect the market to return to normal before they can actually ramp up the production significantly. Just prepping extra wafers would take at minima 6 months so they cannot ramp it fast, and they expect the AIs companies to run out of purchasing steam before they can prep more manufacturing

@Archivist @Natanox @julia @link @kemona_halftau also they have reallocated fab capacity from vanilla DDR5 to HBM used in GPUs. I'm glad I am done with my last round of hardware refreshes.

Sadly, SSDs have also gone up in price, though to be frank the price of storage has not gone down as it used to, for at least a decade, both Flash and spinning rust.

@Natanox @julia @link @kemona_halftau if we had an actual functioning government right now, openAI would be punished for pretty blatant anti competitive practices, but our leaders are more preoccupied with sinking random boats on the coast of venezuela just in case they have drugs on them. hopefully another big tech company sues, let them fight

@Natanox @julia @link @kemona_halftau

RAM manufacturers know that it takes months to years to substantially increase production, and if they do it based on the current price spike, they'll be bankrupted when the new lines start producing, because the price spike will have subsided by then (possibly because OpenAI will have itself gone bankrupt).

There was a huge debacle in the 1980s which the industry hasn't completely forgotten.

Suchbegriff: Schal
Die Suche so: STURMHAUBE
@julia @link @kemona_halftau what a healthy bubble you have there β€‹
@kemona_halftau @link mr. AI fuckface decided he needed 90% of the global RAM supply so his chatbot can tell people to eat a few small rocks every day more efficiently

@kemona_halftau @link

It isn't *this* expensive. You can get approximately that pair of memory modules on Amazon for ~$150.

@argv_minus_one @kemona_halftau @link Check the deliver date. If the price is that low it should say something like "in 6 to 7 months" or higher.

Any "cheap" offer is delayed like that now.

@Natanox

Ah. There's a bunch of no-name brands whose delivery date is tomorrow, but the big names like Corsair are out of stock. Yikes!

@kemona_halftau @link

@link okay im gonnya mute this thread now
@link thanks for the memories ​​
@link Get yourself a partner that would be excited for an extra 8gb of ram.
@flesh my partner doesn't know what to do with 16 gigs that her server has, she only has 2 gigs used
@link Ok, fair, still cool!

@flesh @link

It’s not the size of your physical memory that matters, it’s the efficiency of your virtual memory subsystem.

@link I'd rather have RAM than a ring, you can never get enough nya~
@link So we wait a while. When the AI bubble pops and everyone starts biching about lost profits and dram manufacturers are swimming in cash and tears, the prices will slowly drop back down to normal ranges, maybe even better than before. The alternative is someone else starts their own manufacturing and screws them long term
@yama i think i heard about some new player on the market from China, though currently they're only planning to sell their DRAM in local market
@link Is that 4GB of DDR4? πŸ˜… /jk