Emeritus Prof Christopher MayOct 24

To no-one's real surprise Labour has lost the Caerphilly by-election to Plaid Cymru... Plaid took the seat with a 47% share of the vote, but Reform managed to gain (pretty much from a standing start) 36%, while Labour saw a majority drop to 11% (all, on a slight larger turnout of 50%).

Its not good news for Labour, but most disappointingly the Greens vote share dropped from a previous constituency high of around 15% in 2021 to almost (but not quite) zero.

#Caerphilly #politics
h/t FT

Show threadSimon JohnsonOct 24

@ChrisMayLA6 given it was evidently a two horse race between Plaid & Reform Ltd, progressives of all hues would have backed Plaid - why split the vote and let the far right in?

As a GP member, I’d have preferred a Green victory, of course, but that was never going to happen this time. I don’t think we can read any more into it than that

Show threadEmeritus Prof Christopher May

@Simon318ppm

Yes, that's become pretty clear in the discussion this morning....

Oct 24 at 10:33amWeb