Someone (who chose not to be tagged in this post) asked this question:

How are some of us aware and appalled that this (misinformation) is happening and others just go all in with the conspiracies?

What do you all think? What makes the difference?

Please refrain from just calling people stupid, I know it can definitely feel that way, but we can do better than that.

@RickiTarr News media diet.

If you get all your news from one source only, you're gonna end up believing some crazy shit, regardless of where you started from.

The problem is that we've allowed our information environment to degrade into the equivalent of a food desert. There's a lot of fast food joints serving up junk, and all the big outlets are now optimized to make maximum profit rather than deliver the most well-sourced news.

The internet killed newspapers, and this is the result.

@RickiTarr

I'd say when the cost of living within a conspiracy narrative is tolerable, it becomes acceptable. The easiest way to reduce that cost, and the burden of having to explain things, is to team up with like-minded people.

In this setup, you do not believe weird stuff because you are dumb, but mostly because it gives cohesion to your community. Also, it allows you to wrestle down any doubts that you might be wrong, since many others seem to believe what you believe, and they can't be all wrong, can they?

@RickiTarr The path of least resistance, cognitive load wise
@RickiTarr They do it with Wedge issues. (like the narrow end of an ax blade that gets progressively wider) They slide in a *seemingly* reasonable argument, then once you agree to that they add on a slightly lees reasonable argument but you agreed to the first one so you go along agree to the next one without thinking about it. Then the next one is slightly less and the next is slightly less til they've shifted your view point all the way to the right. In tiny bite sized bits so you won't notice
@RickiTarr i think that some are simply angry and frustrated, and want to hear things that justify them feeling so. Then comes all the propaganda and other forms of BS that follow. And then a scammer, or fraudster comes along, promising those misguided souls the world. And before you know it, we are where we are todayโ€ฆ
@RickiTarr

Busy, inattentive, lazy would cover some of them.
There is an intelligience component, whether IQ, EQ or a mix.
You can score highly and still be taken in, especially if brainwashed by various cults.
Equally you can score low, but be empirically driven, so hard to fool.

Stupid is usually shorthand for unthinking, which can be due to fear, if you lack control and fear loss of income or whatever, perhaps worse, it is easier to stay silent.
Thusly the current nightmares come into being.

Disinformation is done best when either hiding a small truth in a bundle of lies or the reverse - the trick is to know which and when.

However, with mass media, fluff stories, imagined outrages and plain old bullshit are the chaff which hide what we need to know.

Too easy to distract people by overwhelming them.

Like the UK Budget.
On the day you get what the government thinks we want to hear.
In the weeks which follow, the truth which is hardly palatable.

Kite Flying - standard practice for politics.

Seriously though, Confirmation Bias is part of human nature, hard to overcome.
With age comes realism (usually dismissed as cynicism).

The Trolls are getting quite sophisticated and that changes things.

Ultimately it takes a certain (bloody minded) mindset TO notice and resist.

Hard to decide between the conspiracy explanation and the more likely one of how COULD you keep it secret, most people are only too happy to boast they know something you don't.
Especially politicians who are verbally incontinent on a good day.
@RickiTarr
Education? I suspect recent governments focus on SATs and easily quantifiable tasks has had a negative effect on stuff like critical thinking, creativity and individuality. It seems as if too many people are trained to learn 'facts' and regurgitate them without questioning if they actually are facts or propaganda.
@RickiTarr dihydrogenoxide, it is in almost all of our food, the formula we feed our babies and no one is talking about it. How do we know it's safe? There are no government studies on the safety of dihodrogenoxide, but yet there it is, in virtually everything we consume and feed our children.
@RegGuy @RickiTarr it killed millions of people, there's a reason why it's called dihydrogenocide
@Dingsextrem Used improperly, it can cause a person to not be able to breathe. @RickiTarr

@RickiTarr 50 years of death by a thousand financial paper cuts can make people angry, hopeless and very willing to attack whoever is pointed at.

Ask yourself what 'big' things the gov't has done for the 'people' in the last 30-40 years. Beyond the ACA and extremely recently the IRA, I'm not really coming up with much.

Minimum wage being worth literally less than it was in 1960s is a pretty stark example of who the gov't is *actually* working for.

@lori @RickiTarr delivering helps, but even a party actively fighting for us would be something.

Vs Democrats incessant attempts to appease insanity. Ever since Reagan, Dems have accepted the 'govt is not the answer' mantra of the GOP/fascists and couch everything in that light.

@RickiTarr Some people are more easily brainwashed than others. I'd like to say it's all about critical thinking skills, but I don't think it ends there because some very intelligent people have been drawn into cults.
@RickiTarr people choose ignorance because it's less work than rocking the boat and the Rich know how to play them like a fiddle.
They would prefer it if we were all ignorant, society is geared towards this end, hence the 'War on Woke'

It is not a fair fight by any means.
@RickiTarr I think people believe what they want to believe. We all have core beliefs that cause us to seek stories/info that confirm them.

@RickiTarr The origins of this go a long way back. Carl Sagan was writing about this 30+ years ago.

"The dumbing down of America is most evident in the slow decay of substantive content in the enormously influential media, the 30 second sound bites (now down to 10 seconds or less), lowest common denominator programming, credulous presentations on pseudoscience and superstition, but especially a kind of celebration of ignorance.โ€

- Carl Sagan and Ann Druyan, The Demon-Haunted World, 1995

@RickiTarr

Sagan didn't like calling people who buy into it stupid.

"In the way that scepticism is sometimes applied..., there is a tendency to belittle, to condescend, to ignore the fact that, ... supporters of superstition and pseudoscience are human beings with real feelings... Their motives are in many cases consonant with science... let us temper our criticism with kindness. None of us comes fully equipped."

@charvaka I'm trying to keep this in my head, it's too easy to alienate instead of educate.

@RickiTarr @charvaka

The "fun" question is:
How can we be sure that a given conspiracy myth isn't actually "true"?

I mean:
If a conspiracy thing conventiently blames all the people a certain kind of person hates for all problems, that sounds "too easy".
Or if the secret society is just thinly veiled antisemitism.

But in the end the best thing we can say is likely "this conflicts with my mental model of the world" or "this sounds very unlikely".

The best argument against most conspiracy myths is "this is way too complicated, why don't they just do x instead".
But on the other hand: A lot of people are not known for applying rational thought.

@wakame @RickiTarr @charvaka My heuristic for guessing a conspiracy theory is probably bunk is asking first "How many people would have to keep this secret across how many divides to be maintained?" The bigger it supposedly is, the less likely it can effectively be kept secret without whistleblowers. That effect is magnified for every additional class or department ect involved because loyalty across groups is hard to maintain. It's not foolproof, but I've found that it's a good general tool
@wakame @RickiTarr @charvaka Good points (and @Vincarsi as well!). I try to apply Occam's Razor generally. If there's a lot of moving parts that would all have to come together to make the thing true... I'm going to be skeptical. Many people are irked by the fact that a lot of stuff is due to random chance, not everything that happens had a deliberate purpose to start with.

@RickiTarr I think in the case of people I know, it's mainly just confirmation bias that got out of control.

They started out with a stance that questioned the status quo in some way -- like a health nut suspicious of the medical establishment's disregard for homeopathic remedies -- and were conditioned to looking for information that fit that viewpoint. Then they didn't notice so much as it got more extreme. And suddenly they're not just looking for viable natural options, they oppose science.

@RickiTarr

Rationalization and denial are powerful defense mechanisms, especially when people are told that their existence is in peril

@RickiTarr Everybody's day-to-day is different and when convenient choices that don't add to the stress of each struggle present, it can be so easy to choose the convenient route, whether that's not checking info, or going along with family, friends, coworkers, etc...

That's logistics and doesn't deal with belief systems. .When the logistic structure is shaky, it can make the convenient choices even easier to make, dependent on the threat posed to the structure. /1

@RickiTarr As an extreme example, think a number of people on a sinking boat with not enough life vests to go around.

Sadly, the misinfo out there convinced far too many with far too shaky structures that the threats were real enough to solidify beliefs I don't adhere to as a way of coping. /end

@RickiTarr I think it started in the 90s with the Telecommunications act signed by Bill Clinton. The act removed the caps on how many radio and tv stations one could buy resulting in massive consolidation of media.

That gave a lot of power of what people saw, heard and read in the hands of wealthy few. And we can see how you can influence how a person thinks, sees the world and even votes by presenting the same dis/misinformation time and time again.

@RickiTarr In other words, we all arenโ€™t dealing with the same set of "factsโ€ when making these electoral choices. When I went to a Trump rally back in 2015, specifically to get their views on Trump (and not through the MSM), it was apparent to me that these people didn't know about Trump as well as I did.

My takeaway from that experience was that these people were in their own bubble and each side thought the other crazy, but each side was working with different sets of information

@RickiTarr The political class wants their voters dumb *and* stupid. And our K-12 education isn't great and widely varies on zip code. So its no wonder people don't know what a tariff is.

At the same time, its not like MSM educated the public on what a tariff is either so ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿพโ€โ™‚๏ธ

@hasani @RickiTarr
Your last paragraph describes my younger brother and I to a โ€œT.โ€ Itโ€™s as if we live in alternate realities.

He โ€œignores the truth about trump and believes the lies about Clintons, Biden, Harris.โ€
Iโ€™m just the opposite.

@RickiTarr And now that I think about it, with Musk buying Twitter and Bezos buying the Washington Post, they haven't broken new ground. It is just more in the open than in past decades and people now are much more aware that oligarchy isn't something that *just* happens in Russia or Ukraine
@hasani @RickiTarr The media certainly control information about news and events to a shocking extent. Bias is rife.

@nusher @RickiTarr I think the differentiating factor is the democratizing of news and events through social media.

People can see with their own eyes what is really going on, often through the lenses of people who are actually there, and not through a gatekeeper who gaslights the public

@hasani The book The Brainwashing of my Dad has an interesting rundown of the political changes that lead to the current dire situation.

@RickiTarr

@RickiTarr
I sort of went through this about ten years ago. I think there's an immune response which eventually kicks in, but it takes time, and that many people became *online* in 2020 that it's still passing through.
@FantasticalEconomics
@RickiTarr My dad was a hoarder (he still is, somehow, but he cannot actively hoard anymore for health reasons); and he watches all that youtube-disinformation crap and believes it. Might be coincidence, but i think it might be brain-hoarding. No matter how ridiculous some conspiracy theory, you never throw it out ...

@RickiTarr A therapist once told me that sometimes you "want" to believe something but you know you "shouldn't" and a conspiracy theory gives you an excuse to believe it.

That dissonance of wanting/shouldn't is often masking a deeper understanding of your own responsibility that you are trying to avoid.

Of course they all say stuff like that to get you to go more ๐Ÿ™‚

@RickiTarr I know why for me, childhood trauma survivor, trust system broken as a kid so I created my own weighting system for accuracy and probability and also use outliers somewhat like tipping points when I see certain numbered people bring things up it massively increases weight and I pay attention more, or that tipping points could lead to other forecasting events possibility. Well plus Iโ€™m autistic and didnโ€™t know it, and kinda felt like an alien. Most of life was trying to survive.

@RickiTarr

People seem to live in completely different information environments and operate from totally different universes of fact.

@RickiTarr
Oh you wanted the reverse answer. Iโ€™m not a psychologist there are some here.
From what I ๐Ÿค”

Umm, some of it has to do with in and out groups, social groups, social standards, community leaders who are elected for a popular reason like a basketball coach, but knows nothing about resource management or project management.Then those same community thought leaders in religion positions of power, use that power to influence their in group, fuel them with polarizations. Engagement model

@RickiTarr I've bought into Cipolla's laws relating to stupidity which are not related to intellectual capability, but observations of their behavior:

"Law 3. A stupid person is a person who causes losses to another person or group of people when he or she does not benefit and may even suffer losses."

But I realize this is not in common parlance and the "stupid" label will usually evoke the wrong response.

However this definition gives clues...

@RickiTarr

... why would they act in that way?

a) they lack the information and critical thinking skills to realize the outcome of their actions
b) if not a) then they lack the empathy to realize they harm others, or
c) if not b) then they simply don't care

a) can be caused by a cult or pernicious and oppressive regime that denies information and the education necessary
b) can be experiential - eg. never had an LGBT kid
c) can be clinical - sociopath or psychopath

And that ignores...

@RickiTarr they actually believe they will benefit, that is a strong story sold by MAGA. So regardless of the knowledge they are doing harm they believe they will benefit overall, or they put their own well being as #1. I feel like that's an aspect of sociopathy. Others would call it narcissism, greed, selfishness. But I think many of those who doubled down on MAGA wouldn't apply those labels to themselves. They have an alternative definition of "good" or follow the prosperity gospel etc.
@RickiTarr Itโ€™s a matter of training and experience. We all believe things that arenโ€™t true because none of us is entirely immune to propaganda. Some of us are more skeptical because either we have been trained that way or we have discovered that we were being fooled because we couldnโ€™t avoid contradictory evidence.
Conspiracy theories are comfortable: they lend a sense of order to a chaotic universe and they provide something to blame for what we canโ€™t control.

@RickiTarr IMO if you want a "simplest possible" explanation, social circle is the one to go with.

Humans, by and large, are shockingly accepting of whatever our in-group believes and asserts. And, inconveniently, psychopaths and sociopaths aren't naturally like that, while the rest of us either learn how to be skeptical of authority as we grow up, or we don't.

Beyond that is where it starts to be about particulars. Culture, media exposure, education, individual psychology, lifestyle, etc.

@RickiTarr
.
neurotype - which is a terribly sad answer because of the guessed at proportions
@RickiTarr Something I've been interested in for a while is why some people are more susceptible to religion than others and I suspect believing mis/disinformation may have some of the same root causes. There's growing evidence that your brain structure has a lot to do with your innate ability to think critically, then if you add in some social elements, it adds up to some people being more vulnerable to BS than others. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2748718/
The Neural Correlates of Religious and Nonreligious Belief

While religious faith remains one of the most significant features of human life, little is known about its relationship to ordinary belief at the level of the brain. Nor is it known whether religious believers and nonbelievers differ in how they ...

PubMed Central (PMC)

@RickiTarr I think the vastly more interesting group are those in the middle who just believe whatever their local in-group believes, and don't really think about either misinformation or conspiracy, Or they entertain one or both *a little bit,* like "well, there has to be a little truth in there somewhere."

People seem to be, for the most part, hardwired for this kind of ambivalence, which I just fully do not understand at all, but suspect that whatever parts of us survive will probably want to study it to see where it all went wrong.

@RickiTarr It also gives the thrill of having had a breakthrough insight, like learning how to read, or understanding a new language, without the bother of learning anything new. Instant enlightenment.
@sunumbral I understand stuff most people don't

@RickiTarr Pretty much every version of knowledge I have ever seen is "Your version of the truth that may, or may not, reflect reality as you experience it alongside some people you care about tweaking it every once in a while during scant moments of vulnerability."

So I see people who repeat conspiracies and go "Well, it's working for them..." And kinda evaluate how messy it'll be when it stops working for them and whether there will be any benefit for me to disabuse them and act accordingly.

@RickiTarr From personal experience in my own family (four data points, very big margin for error!), people who have not once felt sufficient agency to claim responsibility for doing wrong are particularly vulnerable, both to exculpating disinfo and to God-forgives-you grifter pitches from the pulpit.

If your life has been only about cowering and avoidance of conflict with some boss or other, the prospect of completely escaping guilt over what else you've done along the way is very attractive.

@RickiTarr I've heard it suggested that for a lot of people, going in on the conspiracy theory and then "fighting" against the conspiracy helps to assuage feelings of having no control in their lives. Going all-in on the conspiracy theories makes them feel a little more in control, and they're unable to see that what's actually happening is they are being controlled.

@RickiTarr

I can only speak personally, I came out of the womb very strong minded. On top of that, I grew up with a parent who made it abundantly clear that claimed authority doesn't necessarily warrant credulity.

Then, in Jr High social studies, I got a short, but extremely formative schooling in "influence". Basically, "Advertising Techniques 101." The Tl;dr (that I unpacked in subsequent years): "In whose interest is it that you believe this?" >