This is my prediction of the USA Presidential Election result in 2024, the Electoral College count. I predict Kamala Harris wins 319 EV votes Trump gets 219 (compare Biden won 306-232)

Harris sweeps the 7 swing states, she wins

Arizona
Georgia
Michigan
Nevada
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

@tomiahonen Thank you for this encouraging analysis. I see you say she loses Montana, does that mean Tester loses and we lose the senate?
@MadMaenad I cannot yet make my prediction on the Senate. I will do that of course likely on the final Sunday before election day. We have multiple paths to keep the Senate, are not only hanging on Tester re-election but would love to have him do that. I do not have any MT data that is valid. As to MT, TX, FL, OH and NB - in EACH of those states, our Senator will outperform Kamala Harris. So don't make that assumption her loss means we lose the Senate seat in that state