Tomi T Ahonen

@tomiahonen@mastodon.world
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Twitter Refugee. Same Account. Author, consultant, motivational speaker. Biggest social media slut in mobile. A mAd vidiot, F1 fan, globetrotting digital gypsy 007 wannabe. The T Dawg
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It is demoralizing to see that a failed President now as a convicted criminal is suddenly & against the odds re-elected

There was no fraud, the effect was in all districts, all states, look at blue states like Virginia and NJ. There was no electoral college issue. Our side did not show up to vote

The 'debates' of where we gained or lost votes on our side in demographics

IS POINTLESS reshuffling of the deck chairs when Titanic is sinking

WE LOST ONE IN TEN OF OUR OWN VOTERS

That means EVERY election up and down the ticket is lost. Catastrophe

The demographics argument is useless

On Republican side, their slight increase in total vote vs 2020, is just the natural population growth

There WAS a vote against Trump, this was partly cancelled by RETURN VOTERS from 2020, who voted against Trump (for Biden) and now disillusioned with Biden - WENT HOME ie back to Trump (???) yes

How did we not SEE one in 10 Democrat voters sitting this 2024 election out?

Because of 2 opposite effects which hid that disaster

We had very successful early vote. So many of our REGULAR voters instead of voting on election day, voted early. That SHIFT masked the drop in total D turnout of 10%

Trump did not win this election

We lost this election

Our side did not bother to vote. 1 in 10 of our voters did not show up

Trump was headed to epic defeat, at 46% of vote. Instead, when 1 in 10 of our voters didn't vote, Harris victory at 52% turned into a loss at 48%

We gave him this victory

I know we are all in shock

What happened? Turnout. Our voters did not turn out

2020 was a huge surge election. Trump matched his 2020 turnout

But our voters did not show up, we lost 1 in 10 voters from 2020 level

Turnout is down maybe 4%. In low turnout elections we lose up and down the ticket

Maga won. Elmo won. Murdoch won. Peter Thiel won. Fuckerberg won. Putin won. Netanyahu won. RFK Jr the brain worm dude won
Trump national vote is at about 51% over Harris at 47%. This is a better result for Trump than even his paid pollsters suggested. Note this is about Obama vs Romney 2012 level victory. Trump will set a record in votes won. So he very legitimately has a 'mandate' for his dictatorial agenda
So quite astonishingly and bizarrely, the surge in voting in 2024, was almost exclusively a Trump surge, and Kamala Harris performed about same as Biden or worse than Biden. That also explains the national vote
On a network that I boycott, they showed the national map of where each candidate outperformed the 2020 election, by county. Trump outperformed his 2020 election in about 1,000 counties out of 4,600. Kamala Harris outperformed Biden 2020 in almost none, under 100 counties out of 4,600