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I wrote the world's first History of the Battle of Kyiv in this War in Ukraine, that described the first month and first victory against Russia. My Thread on Twitter was 55 Tweets long, and was read by over 2 million people

So I kinda 'know' about this war, maybe a bit

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The Russians invaded Ukraine two and a half years ago. The first battle was for the Capital city, Kyiv. That battle lasted a month. Ukraine defeated Russia totally, and destroyed, captured or kicked out all Russians who had advanced to Kyiv. They fled to Belarus across border

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So please understand, the horrible war continues in Ukraine. It sat in total stalemate for nearly 2 years, recently Ukraine has managed to get some advances. The war has a long way to go. But the DECISIVE BATTLE of this war, was the Battle for Kyiv. Putin intended a 3 day war

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Yes, that is the absolute unhyped truth. Putin prepared for a 3 day war. His 3 day war has run now for 2 & a half years with no end in sight, but a war Putin cannot win

Note. the '3 Day War' was the 'in case things go bad' the worst scenario

His Generals promised 4 HOUR war

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How can you have a FOUR HOUR war?

It was planned a SNEAK ATTACK

100 helicopters carrying 3,000 special forces troops, would seize Antonov Airport (large airport of Kyiv) and then an airlift already airborne would land with 10,000 troops and their armor

Drive downtown..

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The special airborne division, with armor, would land at Antonov Airport, drive to the Presidential Palace before morning rush hour, put Zelensky at gunpoint on Television to declare he surrenders. If not. Kill him, have his predecessor, Yanukovich (Putin puppet) do it

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That is real. This battle happened in early hours of 24th of February, with a hundred helicopters flying low into Ukraine air space, and then a big battle for the Antonov airport ie Hostomel

What ENDED the 4 Hour War, was that Ukraine had the AIRPORT DEFENSE FORCE deployed

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Russia expected a surprise attack, to easily seize this big airport, with about 3,000 special forces paratroop premium soldiers. Instead the Ukrainians were ready, and the Russians landed into an ambush

The jet transports already in air, had to turn back, fly to Belarus

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Understand how horribly close the defeat was. Russia - Putin - planned a HUGE invasion force to fly as surprise to Ukraine's capital, seize the President, force him to surrender - or shoot him, and put their puppet in charge - to surrender

THAT was the plan for the 4 hr war

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Russian Generals knew this was an bold plan but it might not succeed (the 4 hour war) so they had a

BACKUP PLAN

The 3 Day War. They ALSO arranged a LAND-based invasion force of tanks to rush across from Belarus border to Kyiv - and ENCIRCLE Kyiv, lay siege to it

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So SIMULTANEOUSLY to the 4 hour war plan, with helicopters and transport planes

a parallel LAND INVASION rushed across Ukraine, for one day, to get to edge of Kyiv. then be refueled. Then encircle Kyiv in the next 2 days to lay siege to the capital, force its surrender

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Both of these war plans were STANDARD Russian (Soviet) war methods. The invasions of Afghanistan and Chechnya were conducted in these methods. The helicopters, the giant transport planes flew into Ukraine. The tanks rushed over land towards Kyiv. It was all a sneak attack

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This SECOND plan of Putin to conquer Ukraine, the 'backup plan' in case the 4 hour war failed - the 3 Day War - ALSO failed

The Urkainian army very cunningly tricked and delayed the Russian advance, so that they NEVER encircled Kyiv while they were bicycle distance from it

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About 30,000 Russian soldiers in their latest tanks, supported by immense air power, attempted to encircle Kyiv, but failed to do so. 5 weeks later they were so defeated, the remnants fled back over the border to Belarus

Ukraine won the Battle of Kyiv in about 5 weeks

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You understand what sneak attack means in war - Pearl Harbor. Imagine if the USA had known three days prior, exactly where the Japanese fleet was, and that they were going to bomb Pearl Harbor. ALL the Japanese planes would have been shot down - AND their carriers sunk

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What Ukraine got, before the 4 Hour War and 3 Day War invasions started - was ADVANCE WARNING that Russia is attacking - AND TROOP NUMBERS and WEAPON TYPES. 100 helicopters here. 300 transport jets here. An invasion tank army at this point across the border...

USA did that

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This is what I knew, monitoring the Ukraine 'threat of war' before the invasion

The previous week EVERYBODY in Europe said Putin will not invade. Putin said so. NATO said so. And Ukraine said so

TWO DAYS before invasion, Ukraine STOPPED saying Russia is not going to invade

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I also knew it was the Americans who convinced Ukraine that the 'sabre-rattling' of Russia near Ukraine's border was not that, it was a genuine invasion

I knew it was the Americans who made Ukraine change its mind, that war was coming

I did not know WHEN or WHO

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I am a math guy. I knew it was not NATO European intel that changed Ukraine's mind. I knew - this was public knowledge back then - that the data had come from the Americans. I thought - probably 3 days before the invasion

We now know the truth. Because of what we found out

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I needed you to understand the CONTEXT of this item of news and analysis in this shared Tweet (image). We know now it was Kamala Harris who took the intel to Ukraine's President Zelensky. VERY top secret US intel capacity not usually shared

She got permission from Biden

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So now we know. The US (satellite) intel (best in world) was shared with Zelensky five days before the invasion started. That intel briefing CHANGED Ukraine's mind, that a war is coming - it allowed them to put an ambush in place - that SAVED their capital from falling

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I need to underline this point. TWO DAYS prior to the invasion, European intelligence and military sources were promising, no invasion is coming from Russia

But SOMEONE saw this invasion WAS coming. And that person was Kamala Harris who received permission from Biden to go

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Of course I am not suggesting Kamala Harris is an NSA satellite intelligence specialist studying detailed photographs with a microscope haha

I mean, they had an urgent briefing in the Situation Room. They saw NSA and CIA etc briefing. And Kamala agreed with the threat

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I am not suggesting Ukraine would have fallen. Those soldiers are damned brave and fierce fighters defending their home

But Kamala Harris briefing Zelensky 5 days before that invasion - SHE SAVED THOUSANDS of Ukrainian lives, military and CIVILIAN with that warning

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I heard the US Vice President often express strong support to Ukraine. I did not know this close personal relationship between Kamala Harris & President Zelensky

When she now says, Ukraine will not fall. We know, she also takes this personally

Slava Ukraini - Heroiam Slava

@tomiahonen Terrific thread, thank you!