On all the Mastodon statistics sites, Mastodon is bleeding active users.

Examples:

Picture 1: https://mastodon.fediverse.observer/stats

Picture 2: https://fedidb.org/software/mastodon

I suspect this is due to Mark Zuckerberg embracing the ideas of the Fediverse and giving every Instagram user a Threads account that he controls.

Mastodon performs better, is more open, has better app choice, and will never have ads. Threads has critical mass.

The world will be far better if Mastodon wins, but right now Mastodon is losing.

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@randahl no offense but when i look at the graph on the right.. i'm not seeing mastodon lose. I'm seeing a high influx of users because of the twitter exodus and that graph slowly stabilizing.

Is Mastodon/fedi going to take over the world? GOD NO, of course not.

But the fact that the graph has stabilized is really impressive!

@thibaultmol that is a good point.

But I personally hope Mastodon will grow, and since Threads is growing rapidly, and Mastodon is bleeding at least some users still, Mark Zuckerberg is currently successful in creating a new commercial reality, where he can dictate what content people see.

I want Mastodon to beat Threads for the sake of democracy. This is not happening at the moment.

@randahl personally I don't view Threads as something new.
Threads is just a text-mode product of instagram.

I don't think i'm pessimistic but I don't think there's a world in which Fediverse becomes bigger than Threads or Instagram or anything like that. It'd be cool, but it's not realistic.

I don't focus on spreading Fedi/masto to the masses, I just tell friends about it and give them a guided tour and explain how it works.

Slowly it'll grow, and that's fine

@thibaultmol I do too. But the question remains: Why are we not growing?

@thibaultmol @randahl > Why are we not growing?

Everyone is here already :)

Serious answer: people come and go and normally these fluctuations are not really visible. Fediverse isn't advertising much compared to commercial competitors and the network effect isn't working yet. Major arrivals occur when something happens and then the most of new users slowly leave until some remain who really like it here.