Tomi T AhonenI told you on Sunday that the polls for Harris-Trump went out to the field. Those report inside next 3 days, many come out today. The AVERAGE of those polls around Friday will give first ROUGH measure of where the race is. It is not SOLID. First SOLID numbers can be measured after the Convention(s)
Mabermx@tomiahonen How did the polls look at this time in 2020? (That was before I started taking such an interest in the U.S. election )
@mabermx EVERY cycle in modern era, the polling taken AFTER THE TWO CONVENTIONS shows correctly who wins the election. EVERY SINGLE TIME. and those polls show modestly accurately the MAGNITUDE of the win. The only cases where the polls after both conventions were misleading is, they rarely can capture a BIG WAVE. so if there is a big wave, that is not yet visible after conventions. The polls predicted correct result who wins, but suggested the race was close, when was blowout