So once again for those sitting in the back row
EVERY cycle for incumbent President, his approval ratings are BELOW 50% (check the numbers, EVERY one)
The NORMAL for an incumbent is 37% approval. Obama was at 40%. Clinton at 37%. Reagan was at 35%. They all were re-elected - Reagan by landslide
When one side of 2 parties is CAMPAIGNING and the incumbent is NOT, he is GOVERNING
the polling shows the incumbent supposedly 'losing' to the challenger. Those polls suggested President Romney. President Bob Dole and President Mondale
Before conventions, polling is FAIRY TALES
AFTER Aug: reality
The FIRST polls that have a 'predictive' correlation with actual incumbent President re-election (or loss) are those after both Conventions, not one poll before has any correlation
So you should ignore all polls until late August. After our convention. THEN we see (that Biden is FAR ahead of Trump)
Tomi T Ahonen