Not in Data for Progress’ poll…
They used to be good, but after Biden won 2020 and they started working with the DNC, things went downhill quickly.
During the 2022 midterms, their polls ended up overestimating Republican support.[14] The Tartan reported that the group’s leader, Sean McElwee, was gambling on election results on the website PredictIt, raising ethical concerns.[15] McElwee left the firm in November 2022 amidst allegations of gambling on election results and artificially manipulating polling results to affect races that he had bet money on.[16] Additionally, it has been reported McElwee had inquired among his employees about having them participate in an illegal straw donor scheme.[16] Senior members of Data for Progress informed McElwee that they would resign en masse if he did not step down as the firm’s executive director.[16]
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_for_Progress
Even before that, they were “quick and dirty” polling.
But that’s a whole big can of worms to get into.
The important part is that these candidates are polling similar to Biden against Trump already.
And Biden has the full weight of the DNC behind him (at least up till last week) and an active campaign.
Obviously anyone that became the candidate and started campaign would see a jump.in their numbers unless it was someone like Hillary