tried to run the toroid off of my beefier bench supply and blew a mosfet.
It's looking like the driver is probably drawing a lot more current than simulated. The miniware psu (and the USB-PD supply) I used yesterday handles brownout pretty gracefully, but I suspect the bargain bin bench PSU is less graceful.
Part of the higher power draw could be due to messy switching, but if I lower the primary cap values in the sim to 66pF (from the nominal 99pF) I get results more similar to the observed circuit. I don't think the frequency or temperature is high enough to cause that kind of de-rating but who knows, could be as simple as one of the three capacitors has failed.
Going to order some more caps, this time explicitly marked as low-ESL.
Still not sure what's up with the coil getting blazing hot.