William Gillis 🏴Feb 19, 2024

The bookies currently put Trump's odds of winning the election at 55%.

If Trump wins, it seems clear there's better than even odds of him successfully transforming the US into a fully autocratic state. There's some chance that the "resistance" put up by liberals and the extended state apparatus will have some measure of success, but the greater moderating factor on Trump's success would be as always his ignorance and extremely narrow self-interest.

That combines to at least 1/4th odds overall.

Show threadWilliam Gillis 🏴Feb 19, 2024
So there's *at least* a 25% chance that those of us in the US will end up under a system far less constrained by liberal pretenses. This is not, as some inane bloviators like to suggest, a meaningless change. There's a marked difference between how, for example, Eric King was beaten in prison, and how anarchists in Belarus have been rounded up in mass and tortured in prisons. The composition and inclination of a state can vary quite a bit. Admitting that doesn't deny liberalism's monstrosity.
Show threadCy
@rechelon For instance, I don't know any anarchists in the USA. Fascism boldly destroys massive demonstrations of anarchist protest, but liberalism is a quieter poison, trapping us in situations where we are forced to be individuals and stripped of community. In a way, fascism is what liberalism becomes when we start getting effective at resisting it. Their brutal violence always comes forward, when they can no longer control us with smart words.
Feb 19, 2024 at 4:48amWeb