If you want some background on where we're at right now, check out the English-language coverage I have linked to here;

https://ngmx.com/@sindarina/111456515682317309

The main difference being that he’s now at 37 seats total, which means an increase from the exit polls.

This is not the definitive result, and most of the districts counted so far skew right, while we're still waiting for final counts in the bigger cities, which tend to skew left.

But it sucks either way. Wilders now gets to have the first shot at putting together a coalition, and whether he’ll succeed wholly depends on whether other right wing parties will say yes.

#NLpol

2/ 🧵

And there's a pretty significant chance that they will indeed want to govern with him. A three-party coalition of PVV, VVD, and NSC already has enough seats for a majority in the House, and adding BBB to the mix would give them a decent chunk of the Senate, too.

Which means that whether Wilders gets to rule mostly depends on assholes with similar agendas thinking this is one bridge too far for them 😒

Right now I would be wholly unsurprised if the VVD ditched Yesilgöz if she doesn't want to cooperate, and went whole hog. This is, after all, the party of Klaas Dijkhoff and Stef Blok.

#NLpol

3/ 🧵

Just watch how both VVD and NSC will, just like BBB already has, pull some sort of "we cannot ignore the will of this many voters” excuse to unexpectedly find it within themselves to find a 'compromise' that works for them, when it's really just them giving in to what they were all along.

I hope the unlikely will happen, but even if it balances out a bit more than it looks like right now, once the final results are known, this still means that a significant chunk of Dutch voters looked at the lies peddled by the right, compared it with actual problem solving on the left, and went “You know what? We'll take the lies.”

#NLpol

4/ 🧵