#Threads is not federating with #Mastodon. Not anytime soon, maybe not ever.

In case you missed the #Meta inside information from the Verge's Alex Heath: "Re: ActivityPub integration, it's still a priority for Threads but a "long" way out." https://mastodon.social/@alexeheath/110713788758597963

This whole federating with Threads thing has never made any sense and now we see it is very likely they have just been playing us the whole time. Let's stop falling for this nonsense and get back to building great open social media.

@mastodonmigration I give it 4 to 6 months. Plenty of time to prep and build here…

@tchambers @mastodonmigration I'm not a gambling man but I think I want to start a pool for bets on:

1. When Threads will launch in the EU.
2. When Threads will federate (full federation, not just read-only).
3. When Threads will get defederated by the majority of instances (by instance user count).

My bets:
1. By 18 months from now
2. More than 2 years from now
3. By 2 months after full federation

@Brendanjones @tchambers @mastodonmigration do we also need to count the number of instances that will refuse to federate?

@maddler @tchambers @mastodonmigration I’d count instances that never federate as defederated, yes.

Shit, what have I got myself in for 😅