@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus The situation is not good at all. Even raw Russian conscripts can build defensive positions, and in depth. See, Kursk, battle of.
Aid is insufficient, and late. Little or no striking into Russia. I'm sorry, you cannot win this way with limited manpower to boot.
Best chance? Prolly to lure RA into an ill-advised advance & then win a huge battle of maneuver.
Meanwhile, UA bleeds.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12
I think the problem with the aid is the way we have slowly ratcheted up more advanced systems. Russia OTOH seems to have a severe manpower problem. Of course having had this discussion the Uk will probably launch a massive assault and retake crimea. Proving us both wrong again.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 And we agree about the aid. I said "insufficient, and late".
UA needs to kill about 8 Russians for every UA soldier lost. Three isn't going to make it, and it's likely they are not getting even that. We don't know, because sensibly, UA won't say.
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance I’m not sure Russia has that kind of depth- in theory they could but it might cause a revolution or worse- they would still fail.
Their “fresh” recruits should be trained and ready to go, in fact they should have trained a lot of recruits but—- we’re not seeing that and they can’t even get them uniforms and food/rations. Wagner is even running out.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach
You get an economic depression big enough and revolution is the result. Just give it a few years. Tsarist Russia found out. They had tight grip on the media
@rubecube12 @plutus @johnserwach As long as they are selling oil ... "big enough" is likely to not be big enough.
I know what you are saying. But the US always thinks its opponents are domestically weak.
The Nazis persevered through day & night bombing. Japan had to be nuked—twice.
People rally 'round the flag. It has to be *really* *really* *really* bad, and even then it's probably not gonna be bad enough.
US hubris about this seems to never subside.
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Alright-
What’s in your pocket? Show me yours - I’ll show mine—-
https://www.wsj.com/articles/edc-everyday-carry-reddit-pocket-essentials-8f87d3bd
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus There's something in the water in Michigan? (I mean something *else*!) 😂
https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/i/110275239/michigan-republicans-rising
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
will pivot in due time away from trans kids - libs need new charismatic blood
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
I agree with Noah
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Who could've known...
They wanted the Jewish Trump, well they got 'em
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Just when I was about to delete the app, they PULL me back in!!!!😂😂😂
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
DAN!! No more condoms damn it! We need numbers !!!!!
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Yeah old people dying. Houses being inherited by young people who can now start families
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Counting on you for six to eight kids brother 😂😂😂- Maybe it’s time we bring back “plural” marriage!! You could have three kids with each wife.
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Dating scene in the Mormon community should be easier - time for conversion Danny
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
100% !! My life would be so much easier & richer if I had just been born Mormon 😢 I could have 3-4 wives by now and be truly happy- life is cruel.
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Everywhere everyday - full lockdown is coming
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12
This is one of the most difficult to bear things I have ever read—
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
John - I'm beside myself laughing when I look at this chart. Danny says boomers are excessive - how entitled do you have to be to pay $7 to $20 for McDonald's delivery LMFAO. This shit wouldn't have survived in prior decades.
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
When I was young (in the 80’s) a Big Mac meal was $2.99- I would make a steak dinner at home before I would pay that for McDonald’s!!! I legit cannot figure out how these places are staying in business
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
"Old fooks are forcing me to spend $20 on MCD delivery" - when Danny adopts MAGA logic... I am afraid for our society Johnny
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
Twitter = totalitarian-adjacent social media platform. Get a taste of being under the thumb of big brother.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach
Michigan makes the list. New Jersey still dead last https://www.instagram.com/reel/CuSD9AwN5XB/?igshid=YmM0MjE2YWMzOA==
35K likes, 292 comments - Lita Talisman (@litaofthepack_) on Instagram: "What’s your favorite state? 🇺🇸 Happy July 4th everyone. Although this country is far fro..."
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance I’ve been there- in fact that could be my daughter diving at the end - pretty sure that’s just outside of Marquette #BlackRocks
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
Plut hates decentralized platforms that dont profit billionaire douches so I'm going to create a meta thread profile to appease him. At least zuck is tolerable
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach thats why it treads.net by your profile. Mastadon will be the winner because of meta
Threads will use Mastadon protocol https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/05/adam-mosseri-says-metas-threads-app-wont-have-activitypub-support-at-launch/amp/
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Threads works on PC. Threads.net
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
I followed you
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
I'm telling you every fintwit and financial pundit has been brainwashed into little Hayeks & Von Mises pikers. They have no understanding that geopolitics and macroeconomics are inextricably tethered. Austerity is the worse policy to sustain US hegemony.
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
As such what is the point of driving growth if you are just going try later on to kill it - you are literally burning money
We either live with higher growth and higher prices or we don't
Growth is the only way we (as the US) sustains our hegemony across the globe. We've had outsized debt for decades - that isn't the reason how other countries view our viability.
Impressing our soft power globally = maintains our pre-eminent status
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
Biden is the most populist potus since LBJ meaning he’s done more shit for plebs than bill clinton Obama or even Jimmy Carter. Yet he gets none of plaudits and is less popular than Carter. I know you 2 won’t agree - yes part of issue is his reticence (for obvious reasons) , but his handlers are terrible at messaging. Stop the defending the Ron Klains etc
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
We're using threads now I thought?
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
Spare the fist spoil the Danny. https://twitter.com/morecrazyclips/status/1676937791857389569?s=46
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
Even New Jersey there. We're only waiting for John and Plutus. Why did you badger to get on this app and support the billionaires if you aint gonna use it.
https://www.threads.net/t/CuXPkKLLIYa/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
Ok - guess I’m on threads—
Yuki please put your photo up over there so I have a nice pic come up on my watch once in awhile.
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Why are you using mastadon instead of threads. We're not on tbis app
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
need desktop version to paste things easier
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
There a web interface now
https://www.threads.net/@jesrf/post/CwbXqxDNxvA/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
no 1 posting on threads ex you
ForeignSubstance ✅
John Serwach ✅
Daniel Rubin ✅
Plutus
