@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12 supply chains have been the only issue.
Someday, someone, will understand that not ALL inflation is at risk.
I suspect the government is extracting brutal terms from the entire banking industry even as we speak. #AboutTime
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
If there is a pause hiking will continue at a slower pace until rates are higher than inflation. I dont want anything. I'm just saying what I see.
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
Is inflation in the room with us now ?
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
It’s never “just the tip” 😂😂😂
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach
Yeah that includes 30 dollars in tips
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
But more will roll in over the next few days
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Oh, that’s better then.
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
If Dems did similarly - they would be crucified. Recrimination is completely asymmetrical - why
https://twitter.com/mmpadellan/status/1637552516601618432?s=20
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
Crony QE capitalism. It neefs to end.
Don't be distracted. The big story isn't "woke capitalism." It's crony capitalism that allows the wealthy and corporations to roll back laws to line their own pockets.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12
Governments hiring Dan - UsaJobs
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Lev Parnass destroying all the MAGA narratives on this space - love it
ttps://twitter.com/i/spaces/1ZkKzXOXajXJv
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Ok Yuki- it’s game on!! 🇺🇸🇯🇵⚾️⚾️⚾️🧢🏟️
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Dan, offer to represent her pro bono- this could be your first “starter marriage” —
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
The guy who runs the largest Twitter space
https://youtu.be/SAi99ov5OKM
https://youtu.be/Ol8-h8WGyFo
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
Does a Serow shit in the woods??
Speaking of, so we all in agreement, 25 points tomorrow ?
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
You can thank Danny (direct red phone to the WH) for advising them to pull the plug
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @plutus
Dan- how’s the stone? Let’s start a non profit—-
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
I don't feel anything. I told you last week
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
No recession yet. 300 dollar day again
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
You said you “thought “ it had passed- thats not the same as “yes, it has passed”- nevertheless, glad you are well.
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
Counterstrike imminent https://newsie.social/@RupertCocke/110072478638244925
#Ukraine troops plan counterstrike https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/law-order/2390654-russias-war-on-ukraine-latest-ukrainian-troops-plan-counterstrike
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
@plutus Tell Luke Groman and Sean Russia is in a massive economic recession. Still waiting for the US job losses that he said would result
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
I’m concerned Ukraine might not have sufficient ammunition to mount a sustained counter attack. Which is bizarre that we have gone thru so much ammo after preparing for 50 years for WWIII
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus After 1991, no one thought "the commies are coming thru the Fulda Gap". Javelins came just after that date, and not in huge bulk, plus they've been improved since.
Few imagined years of artillery duels, cuz the thinking was it would turn into missiles before that much time elapsed.
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus The situation is not good at all. Even raw Russian conscripts can build defensive positions, and in depth. See, Kursk, battle of.
Aid is insufficient, and late. Little or no striking into Russia. I'm sorry, you cannot win this way with limited manpower to boot.
Best chance? Prolly to lure RA into an ill-advised advance & then win a huge battle of maneuver.
Meanwhile, UA bleeds.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12
I think the problem with the aid is the way we have slowly ratcheted up more advanced systems. Russia OTOH seems to have a severe manpower problem. Of course having had this discussion the Uk will probably launch a massive assault and retake crimea. Proving us both wrong again.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 I would put the odds of a successful assault on Crimea at < 5%. Yes, UA dramatically overperformed when Russia was dreaming about spring-2022 parades in Kyiv. Russia has cannon fodder. UA does not. The "manpower problem" is on the UA side.
I'd love to be wrong about this. But I really doubt that will be the case.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 And we agree about the aid. I said "insufficient, and late".
UA needs to kill about 8 Russians for every UA soldier lost. Three isn't going to make it, and it's likely they are not getting even that. We don't know, because sensibly, UA won't say.
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @plutus
All I hear from my passangers is that the Rent is TOO DAMN HIGH
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance I’m not sure Russia has that kind of depth- in theory they could but it might cause a revolution or worse- they would still fail.
Their “fresh” recruits should be trained and ready to go, in fact they should have trained a lot of recruits but—- we’re not seeing that and they can’t even get them uniforms and food/rations. Wagner is even running out.
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance yeah but they have that history. Someone has to be coup worthy.
If this is remotely close they have very serious problems.
I’ve known my share of Ukrainians- they will fight to the last child.
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
Never mess with a Sicilian when death is on the line and never invade Ukraine in the winter time
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 It's an important year, I think. Endless meatgrinder, a problem for Putin. But UA being held to a (ridiculously?) high standard, too. Must "do something" to keep the support flowing. But attacking w/ < 3-1 manpower advantage? In essentially "trench warfare" conditions? Little to no deep-strike capability? Few planes. Less than even one full battalion of Abrams—when they finally get there?
US elections will weigh by next winter.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach
You get an economic depression big enough and revolution is the result. Just give it a few years. Tsarist Russia found out. They had tight grip on the media
@rubecube12 @plutus @johnserwach As long as they are selling oil ... "big enough" is likely to not be big enough.
I know what you are saying. But the US always thinks its opponents are domestically weak.
The Nazis persevered through day & night bombing. Japan had to be nuked—twice.
People rally 'round the flag. It has to be *really* *really* *really* bad, and even then it's probably not gonna be bad enough.
US hubris about this seems to never subside.
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
If gdp continues to go negative they will be. Eventually lower income means you can't support as many people at the same standard of living they have now. People are loss averse. Loss of a high standard of living makes them angry
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Alright-
What’s in your pocket? Show me yours - I’ll show mine—-
https://www.wsj.com/articles/edc-everyday-carry-reddit-pocket-essentials-8f87d3bd
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus There's something in the water in Michigan? (I mean something *else*!) 😂
https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/i/110275239/michigan-republicans-rising
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
Oh come now, of everyone I know, I’m quite sure you are the EDC type. Confession is good for the soul…
On a more serious note, Gordon Moore has passed away.
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @rubecube12
Bet Johnny had a crush on Suzanne Vega back in the day
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @plutus
She was hot in romancing the stone— I’ll just say I have a certain type and I largely stay true to my core values 😂 but not always!
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
She was good in Braveheart. I remeber this Macedonian girl from my youth- total opposite of my normal “americanized” female companionship- we had a lot of fun…
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
will pivot in due time away from trans kids - libs need new charismatic blood
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
I agree with Noah
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Who could've known...
They wanted the Jewish Trump, well they got 'em
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Just when I was about to delete the app, they PULL me back in!!!!😂😂😂
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
what the...
sry dan is missing out
https://twitter.com/fangshimin/status/1640157261984333826?s=20
John Serwach ✅
Plutus
Daniel Rubin ✅
ForeignSubstance ✅
